PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x206D81B1CcF9D7fa21a9144EDA28737302A544D2-1772422723952

0x206d81b1ccf9d7fa21a9144eda28737302a544d2

Realised P&L
$4.09
Volume
$1.5k
Markets traded
91
Open portfolio
$200.12

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded91
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration5.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration5.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Democratic Party win the OK-04 House seat? · No0.5000.934$11.21+$5.21
GRVT FDV above $1B one day after launch? · No0.9601.000$8.50+$0.34
StandX FDV above $3B one day after launch? · No0.5000.985$8.37+$4.12
Will Ethereum reach $8,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9400.983$8.36+$0.37
StandX FDV above $5B one day after launch? · No0.5000.975$8.29+$4.04
Will Ethena reach $1.20 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9340.969$8.24+$0.30
Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026? · No0.8800.963$8.18+$0.70
Major CEX insolvent in 2026? · No0.8900.961$8.17+$0.60
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? · No0.9150.958$8.14+$0.36
Hurupay FDV above $20M one day after launch? · No0.8850.949$8.07+$0.54
Will Plasma reach $1.40 by December 31, 2026? · No0.5000.946$8.04+$3.79
Tabi FDV above $1B one day after launch? · No0.5000.945$8.03+$3.78
USD1 depeg by December 31? · No0.9200.940$7.99+$0.17
Will Plasma reach $1.60 by December 31, 2026? · No0.5000.935$7.95+$3.70
Metamask FDV above $3B one day after launch? · No0.5000.934$7.94+$3.69

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
03-28 08:14Ventuals FDV above $500M one day after launch?SELL0.0244941176$0.21
03-28 08:13Based FDV above $500M one day after launch?SELL0.017$0.14
03-28 08:13Will MegaETH launch a token by March 31, 2026?SELL0.001$0.01
03-28 08:05Will Consensys IPO by March 31 2026?SELL0.001$0.01
03-28 08:04Labour leadership election scheduled by March 31?SELL0.011$0.13
03-28 08:04Will Russia join the Board of Peace?SELL0.003$0.04
03-28 08:00US strike on Colombia by March 31?SELL0.003$0.04
03-28 07:59Will any Minnesota politician be charged with fraud by March 31?SELL0.003$0.04
03-28 07:51Will Anthropic have the best AI model for math on March 31?SELL0.001$0.01
03-09 12:59Will Jordan strike Iran by March 31?BUY0.94$8.46
03-09 06:38Will the Democratic Party win the OK-04 House seat?SELL0.03$0.36
03-07 08:52Nothing Ever Happens: Jerome Powell EditionSELL0.988$7.90
03-04 09:01SBF released from custody in 2026?BUY0.88$8.36
03-02 12:58Major CEX insolvent in 2026?BUY0.89$7.57
03-02 12:54Will Aster reach $2.00 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.91$7.74