0x206D81B1CcF9D7fa21a9144EDA28737302A544D2-1772422723952
0x206d81b1ccf9d7fa21a9144eda28737302a544d2
- Realised P&L
- $4.09
- Volume
- $1.5k
- Markets traded
- 91
- Open portfolio
- $200.12
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded91
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration5.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration5.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.37at 0.500Will The Greens win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?
- +$6.33at 0.500Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?
- +$6.29at 0.682Will any Minnesota politician be charged with fraud by March 31?
- +$6.00at 0.500Will Brooks Koepka win the 2026 Masters tournament?
- +$5.98at 0.500Will Sentimental Value win Best Original Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-28 08:14 | Ventuals FDV above $500M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.0244941176 | $0.21 |
| 03-28 08:13 | Based FDV above $500M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.017 | $0.14 |
| 03-28 08:13 | Will MegaETH launch a token by March 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.01 |
| 03-28 08:05 | Will Consensys IPO by March 31 2026? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.01 |
| 03-28 08:04 | Labour leadership election scheduled by March 31? | SELL | 0.011 | $0.13 |
| 03-28 08:04 | Will Russia join the Board of Peace? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.04 |
| 03-28 08:00 | US strike on Colombia by March 31? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.04 |
| 03-28 07:59 | Will any Minnesota politician be charged with fraud by March 31? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.04 |
| 03-28 07:51 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model for math on March 31? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.01 |
| 03-09 12:59 | Will Jordan strike Iran by March 31? | BUY | 0.94 | $8.46 |
| 03-09 06:38 | Will the Democratic Party win the OK-04 House seat? | SELL | 0.03 | $0.36 |
| 03-07 08:52 | Nothing Ever Happens: Jerome Powell Edition | SELL | 0.988 | $7.90 |
| 03-04 09:01 | SBF released from custody in 2026? | BUY | 0.88 | $8.36 |
| 03-02 12:58 | Major CEX insolvent in 2026? | BUY | 0.89 | $7.57 |
| 03-02 12:54 | Will Aster reach $2.00 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.91 | $7.74 |