mbxbfs
0x2063a62476107f3f93dcb7ff59cdf549f34ab9ba
- Realised P&L
- $-6.18
- Volume
- $261.51
- Markets traded
- 6
- Open portfolio
- $4.86
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded6
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration71.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $280 in October? · No | 0.987 | 0.960 | $4.86 | −$0.14 |
| Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026? · Yes | 0.930 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.60at 0.893Will France win on 2026-06-22?
- +$0.21at 0.999Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 14?
- +$0.01at 0.995Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 14?
- +$0.01at 0.999Will Kylian Mbappe score 12+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-10 07:09 | Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $280 in October? | BUY | 0.9869999996 | $5.00 |
| 09-21 02:21 | Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.9299999655 | $7.00 |
| 07-15 07:02 | Will Kylian Mbappe score 12+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.999 | $10.00 |
| 06-18 10:17 | Will France win on 2026-06-22? | BUY | 0.8899999858 | $5.00 |
| 04-14 02:53 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 14? | BUY | 0.9949998641 | $1.94 |
| 04-14 02:53 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 14? | BUY | 0.9949996653 | $1.10 |
| 04-14 02:53 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 14? | BUY | 0.999 | $229.97 |