PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

pyoi

0x202dee1aebe5054f56c6c5b1d7b3e1f78b802dcd

Realised P&L
$-2.6k
Volume
$171.4k
Markets traded
113
Open portfolio
$23.0k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded113
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration24.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration54.6% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.3980.285$12.6k−$5.0k
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.3740.305$5.9k−$1.3k
Blue wave in 2026? · No0.1330.085$2.4k−$1.4k
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.4250.295$1.8k−$781.63
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · No0.5100.295$295.00−$215.00
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0810.057$17.51−$7.49
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.5400.381$14.09−$5.91
GTA 6 launch postponed again? · No0.7200.962$13.35+$3.35
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · No0.8300.996$11.99+$1.99
Trump out as President before 2027? · No0.8390.966$11.51+$1.51
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.2870.255$8.88−$1.12
Will Republicans hold 53+ Senate seats and 208–222 House seats after the 2026 midterms? · Yes0.0890.027$7.62−$17.38
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.4100.265$6.46−$3.54
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? · No0.8500.967$1.14+$0.14
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? · No0.9260.980$1.06+$0.06

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 03:36Blue wave in 2026?BUY0.13$142.49
11-01 03:33Will Republicans hold 53+ Senate seats and 208–222 House seats after the 2026 midterms?BUY0.017$0.45
10-29 00:312026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseSELL0.06$300.00
10-21 03:18Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?BUY0.3647644184$6.5k
09-28 12:33Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.38$9.9k
09-28 12:23Blue wave in 2026?BUY0.16$20.16
09-25 02:27Blue wave in 2026?BUY0.16$137.60
09-24 13:24Blue wave in 2026?BUY0.15$334.80
09-24 12:28Will Republicans hold 53+ Senate seats and 208–222 House seats after the 2026 midterms?BUY0.0227931859$1.14
09-18 02:47Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.42$7.0k
09-12 13:04Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?BUY0.49$585.08
09-11 12:39Will Republicans hold 53+ Senate seats and 208–222 House seats after the 2026 midterms?BUY0.1275303946$20.05
09-06 03:15Will The Duskbloods win Game of the Year at the 2026 Game Awards?BUY0.003$0.14
09-06 03:14Will The Duskbloods win Best Multiplayer at the 2026 Game Awards?BUY0.127$1.27
08-28 03:54Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.0806772879$25.00