pyoi
0x202dee1aebe5054f56c6c5b1d7b3e1f78b802dcd
- Realised P&L
- $-2.6k
- Volume
- $171.4k
- Markets traded
- 113
- Open portfolio
- $23.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded113
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration54.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$900.99at 0.421Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
- +$389.69at 0.942Will Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?
- +$340.00at 0.660US forces enter Iran by December 31?
- +$250.00at 0.750Kash Patel out by May 31?
- +$209.12at 0.286Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 03:36 | Blue wave in 2026? | BUY | 0.13 | $142.49 |
| 11-01 03:33 | Will Republicans hold 53+ Senate seats and 208–222 House seats after the 2026 midterms? | BUY | 0.017 | $0.45 |
| 10-29 00:31 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | SELL | 0.06 | $300.00 |
| 10-21 03:18 | Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.3647644184 | $6.5k |
| 09-28 12:33 | Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.38 | $9.9k |
| 09-28 12:23 | Blue wave in 2026? | BUY | 0.16 | $20.16 |
| 09-25 02:27 | Blue wave in 2026? | BUY | 0.16 | $137.60 |
| 09-24 13:24 | Blue wave in 2026? | BUY | 0.15 | $334.80 |
| 09-24 12:28 | Will Republicans hold 53+ Senate seats and 208–222 House seats after the 2026 midterms? | BUY | 0.0227931859 | $1.14 |
| 09-18 02:47 | Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.42 | $7.0k |
| 09-12 13:04 | Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.49 | $585.08 |
| 09-11 12:39 | Will Republicans hold 53+ Senate seats and 208–222 House seats after the 2026 midterms? | BUY | 0.1275303946 | $20.05 |
| 09-06 03:15 | Will The Duskbloods win Game of the Year at the 2026 Game Awards? | BUY | 0.003 | $0.14 |
| 09-06 03:14 | Will The Duskbloods win Best Multiplayer at the 2026 Game Awards? | BUY | 0.127 | $1.27 |
| 08-28 03:54 | Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.0806772879 | $25.00 |