PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x202B55F1fce57d15463c7691A66a2f03f62C7eD7-1768331577083

0x202b55f1fce57d15463c7691a66a2f03f62c7ed7

Realised P&L
$-55.6k
Volume
$515.4k
Markets traded
31
Open portfolio
$102.68

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-10.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded31
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration45.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample11 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)63.6%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration42.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · Yes0.5140.045$43.81−$456.19
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? · Yes0.0800.021$25.63−$74.38
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · No0.9440.159$16.84−$83.16
Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026? · Yes0.0910.015$16.40−$83.59
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · No0.3610.000$0.00−$50.0k
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.2080.000$0.00−$31.4k
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? · Yes0.7600.000$0.00−$200.00
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May? · Yes0.0270.000$0.00−$50.00
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? · Yes0.2610.000$0.00−$1.8k
Will New People (NL) win between 45 and 54 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? · Yes0.1510.000$0.00−$1.3k
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April? · Yes0.1170.000$0.00−$500.00
Will Trump talk to Mohammed bin Salman in January? · No0.0960.000$0.00−$20.00
Will Páfos FC win on 2026-01-21? · Yes0.0500.000$0.00−$100.00
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30? · Yes0.1600.000$0.00−$500.00
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? · Yes0.0500.000$0.00−$100.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-20 08:12Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.2025237521$9.9k
09-18 19:02Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.2278805503$9.6k
09-18 19:02Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.1974223584$10.4k
09-18 11:54Will New People (NL) win between 45 and 54 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?BUY0.1513231742$1.3k
09-17 21:41Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.2040890924$1.5k
09-17 21:40Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 5:40PM-5:45PM ETSELL0.51$5.00
09-17 21:40Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 5:40PM-5:45PM ETBUY0.5099999776$5.00
09-17 19:54Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?SELL0.3504851214$2.9k
09-01 10:07Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?BUY0.3496825043$2.9k
09-01 10:06Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?SELL0.653192892$3.0k
08-31 13:04Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?BUY0.6735965091$3.1k
08-31 13:01Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.377499381$27.2k
08-31 13:01Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.3426889836$22.8k
07-04 00:26Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to AdvanceBUY0.3089677186$974.53
07-04 00:03Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to AdvanceBUY0.2267838113$180.00