MrFlag
0x2012484f85b40a9b00b990aa5168443189697d02
- Realised P&L
- $-34.48
- Volume
- $1.9k
- Markets traded
- 13
- Open portfolio
- $98.53
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded13
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration53.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample6 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)83.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration78.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes | 0.487 | 0.505 | $76.92 | +$2.77 |
| Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.00% and 5.49%? · Yes | 0.530 | 0.457 | $16.33 | −$2.65 |
| Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.50% and 5.99%? · Yes | 0.265 | 0.140 | $5.27 | −$4.73 |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.185 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.116 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-05-31? · Yes | 0.230 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$38.60 |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? · Yes | 0.770 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$28.16at 0.587Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
- +$9.04at 0.864Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-05-27?
- +$7.49at 0.795Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-05-31?
- +$7.37at 0.256Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$0.65at 0.978Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-17 14:22 | Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.50% and 5.99%? | BUY | 0.264566364 | $10.00 |
| 06-17 14:21 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1159999905 | $10.00 |
| 06-17 14:21 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1849999851 | $10.00 |
| 06-17 14:18 | Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? | BUY | 0.7699999935 | $20.00 |
| 06-12 21:42 | Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.5626194009 | $28.00 |
| 06-12 21:41 | Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.1335695767 | $27.20 |
| 05-31 22:03 | Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-05-31? | SELL | 0.999 | $36.66 |
| 05-31 22:02 | Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-05-31? | BUY | 0.2299999967 | $38.60 |
| 05-30 19:51 | Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-05-31? | BUY | 0.7899999992 | $29.00 |
| 05-30 19:46 | Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.00% and 5.49%? | BUY | 0.5304410433 | $18.98 |
| 05-30 19:44 | Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.4499999971 | $46.15 |
| 05-30 19:41 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.286 | $98.78 |
| 05-30 15:32 | Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | BUY | 0.9779999899 | $29.00 |
| 05-30 15:27 | Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.1767631454 | $36.00 |
| 05-22 12:43 | Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? | BUY | 0.5799999956 | $39.57 |