lomneivan
0x1fee90f352fd362ea4bf13c6ed7cdd83a4d2ed5e
- Realised P&L
- $76.7k
- Volume
- $6.86M
- Markets traded
- 90
- Open portfolio
- $942.6k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded90
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration32.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration16.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$96.6kat 0.603Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
- +$26.5kat 0.433Will Nigel Farage win 60–70% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?
- +$24.7kat 0.258Will Karen Bass & Spencer Pratt advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
- +$18.4kat 0.796Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
- +$16.2kat 0.243Will Karen Bass & Nithya Raman advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-27 23:50 | Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | SELL | 0.32 | $38.3k |
| 10-27 23:50 | Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | SELL | 0.32 | $66.2k |
| 10-27 23:49 | Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | SELL | 0.33 | $8.1k |
| 10-06 21:15 | Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | BUY | 0.409 | $1.1k |
| 10-06 21:15 | Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | BUY | 0.4099447699 | $3.8k |
| 10-03 00:21 | Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.67 | $167.95 |
| 10-03 00:21 | Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.67 | $3.35 |
| 10-03 00:20 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | SELL | 0.07 | $13.7k |
| 10-03 00:20 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House | SELL | 0.0064197781 | $221.34 |
| 10-03 00:18 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | BUY | 0.36 | $151.2k |
| 10-03 00:18 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House | SELL | 0.007 | $0.70 |
| 10-03 00:18 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | SELL | 0.07 | $7.00 |
| 10-03 00:17 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | BUY | 0.36 | $36.00 |
| 10-01 22:32 | Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.87 | $26.8k |
| 10-01 22:32 | Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.87 | $30.7k |