0x1FE4396E97840a2De5213EAF24000f0940a813C7-1759952518615
0x1fe4396e97840a2de5213eaf24000f0940a813c7
- Realised P&L
- $-0.90
- Volume
- $1.2k
- Markets traded
- 30
- Open portfolio
- $13.64
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded30
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration40.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample6 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)83.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration36.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$31.81at 0.430Will Palantir (PLTR) finish week of March 2 above $141?
- +$17.42at 0.223Will an Iranian agent be charged in the US by April 30?
- +$13.52at 0.270Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $95 by March 13?
- +$8.53at 0.190Will a new country buy Bitcoin in 2025?
- +$8.16at 0.380US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-06 07:41 | Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $1,020 Week of July 6 2026? | BUY | 0.1699998861 | $1.00 |
| 07-06 07:40 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on July 6? | BUY | 0.55 | $1.00 |
| 07-06 07:39 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in July? | BUY | 0.2199998548 | $1.00 |
| 07-06 07:38 | NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1699999422 | $2.00 |
| 06-01 06:46 | Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? | BUY | 0.025999975 | $1.00 |
| 06-01 06:45 | US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | BUY | 0.3799999742 | $5.00 |
| 06-01 06:44 | JD Vance out as VP by December 31? | BUY | 0.1 | $5.00 |
| 06-01 06:40 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.03 |
| 05-02 18:46 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15? | BUY | 0.05 | $5.00 |
| 05-02 18:45 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | BUY | 0.1899999726 | $5.00 |
| 04-06 14:59 | Netanyahu out by June 30? | BUY | 0.05 | $5.00 |
| 04-06 14:55 | Will Jon Rahm win the 2026 Masters tournament? | BUY | 0.0780000001 | $5.00 |
| 04-02 15:53 | Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31? | BUY | 0.32 | $5.00 |
| 03-29 18:30 | Will an Iranian agent be charged in the US by April 30? | BUY | 0.2230234266 | $5.00 |
| 03-29 18:29 | Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30? | BUY | 0.08 | $5.00 |