PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x1FE4396E97840a2De5213EAF24000f0940a813C7-1759952518615

0x1fe4396e97840a2de5213eaf24000f0940a813c7

Realised P&L
$-0.90
Volume
$1.2k
Markets traded
30
Open portfolio
$13.64

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded30
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration40.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample6 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)83.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration36.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31? · Yes0.3200.320$5.00+$0.00
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1700.255$3.00+$1.00
Cuban regime falls in 2026? · Yes0.2800.135$2.41$2.59
JD Vance out as VP by December 31? · Yes0.1000.045$2.25$2.75
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · Yes0.5100.100$0.98$4.02
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026? · Yes0.0080.000$0.00$1.00
Netanyahu out by June 30? · Yes0.0500.000$0.00$5.00
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? · Yes0.0260.000$0.00$1.00
Israel withdraws from Gaza in 2025? · Yes0.2200.000$0.00$2.00
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March? · Yes0.2600.000$0.00$5.00
Will Jon Rahm win the 2026 Masters tournament? · Yes0.0780.000$0.00$5.00
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30? · Yes0.0800.000$0.00$5.00
Another Russian incursion in Polish airspace by October 31? · Yes0.1600.000$0.00$5.00
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31? · Yes0.3000.000$0.00$5.00
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30? · Yes0.2200.000$0.00$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-06 07:41Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $1,020 Week of July 6 2026?BUY0.1699998861$1.00
07-06 07:40WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on July 6?BUY0.55$1.00
07-06 07:39Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in July?BUY0.2199998548$1.00
07-06 07:38NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1699999422$2.00
06-01 06:46Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? BUY0.025999975$1.00
06-01 06:45US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?BUY0.3799999742$5.00
06-01 06:44JD Vance out as VP by December 31?BUY0.1$5.00
06-01 06:40Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?SELL0.001$0.03
05-02 18:46Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?BUY0.05$5.00
05-02 18:45Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?BUY0.1899999726$5.00
04-06 14:59Netanyahu out by June 30?BUY0.05$5.00
04-06 14:55Will Jon Rahm win the 2026 Masters tournament?BUY0.0780000001$5.00
04-02 15:53Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?BUY0.32$5.00
03-29 18:30Will an Iranian agent be charged in the US by April 30?BUY0.2230234266$5.00
03-29 18:29Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?BUY0.08$5.00