takethat
0x1fd861f8ace78120a4a1fb49136306131b611de3
- Realised P&L
- $-4.8k
- Volume
- $362.5k
- Markets traded
- 924
- Open portfolio
- $165.01
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded924
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration84.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.0kat 0.015S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 24?
- +$1.0kat 0.346Meteora FDV above $2B one day after launch?
- +$854.99at 0.007S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 25?
- +$619.15at 0.270Kinetiq FDV above $500M one day after launch?
- +$487.20at 0.013Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 16:59 | Will Hyperliquid hit $100 by September 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.76 | $171.43 |
| 09-18 16:58 | Will Hyperliquid hit $100 by September 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.75 | $15.00 |
| 09-14 04:03 | Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.50 Week of September 14 2026? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.40 |
| 08-28 16:07 | Will Core PCE YoY be 3.5% in August? | SELL | 0.04 | $0.80 |
| 08-26 02:13 | Will MegaETH hit $0.10 by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.09 | $1.80 |
| 08-25 22:54 | Will Jasmine Paolini advance to the Final in Women's Singles at the 2026 US Open? | SELL | 0.04 | $0.80 |
| 08-25 17:02 | Will Zizou Bergs advance to the Final in Men's Singles at the 2026 US Open? | BUY | 0.9699999995 | $20.00 |
| 08-25 17:00 | Will Arthur Rinderknech advance to the Final in Men's Singles at the 2026 US Open? | BUY | 0.95 | $19.00 |
| 08-25 17:00 | Will Juncheng Shang advance to the Final in Men's Singles at the 2026 US Open? | BUY | 0.96 | $19.00 |
| 08-25 16:59 | Will Flavio Cobolli advance to the Final in Men's Singles at the 2026 US Open? | BUY | 0.96 | $20.00 |
| 08-25 16:57 | Will Novak Djokovic advance to the Final in Men's Singles at the 2026 US Open? | BUY | 0.8299999975 | $20.00 |
| 08-25 16:57 | Will Ben Shelton advance to the Final in Men's Singles at the 2026 US Open? | BUY | 0.87 | $20.00 |
| 08-25 16:56 | Will Arthur Fils advance to the Final in Men's Singles at the 2026 US Open? | BUY | 0.8899999996 | $20.00 |
| 08-25 16:56 | Will Taylor Fritz advance to the Final in Men's Singles at the 2026 US Open? | BUY | 0.92 | $20.00 |
| 08-25 16:55 | Will Jakub Mensik advance to the Final in Men's Singles at the 2026 US Open? | BUY | 0.9299999986 | $20.00 |