takethat
0x1fd861f8ace78120a4a1fb49136306131b611de3
- Realised P&L
- $-4.4k
- Volume
- $352.5k
- Markets traded
- 754
- Open portfolio
- $145.57
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded754
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration60.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration28.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.0kat 0.015S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 24?
- +$1.0kat 0.347Meteora FDV above $2B one day after launch?
- +$854.99at 0.007S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 25?
- +$619.15at 0.270Kinetiq FDV above $500M one day after launch?
- +$487.20at 0.013Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 03:16 | Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $160 Week of August 3 2026? | SELL | 0.66 | $13.18 |
| 08-04 03:15 | Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $720 Week of August 3 2026? | SELL | 0.1953733811 | $7.09 |
| 08-04 03:14 | Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $750 Week of August 3 2026? | SELL | 0.41 | $16.40 |
| 08-02 21:08 | Will Stripe's valuation hit (LOW) $150B by August 31? | SELL | 0.06 | $2.40 |
| 08-01 23:56 | Will Anduril's valuation hit (LOW) $92.5B by August 31? | SELL | 0.53 | $10.60 |
| 08-01 23:55 | Will Anduril's valuation hit (LOW) $80B by August 31? | SELL | 0.93 | $27.90 |
| 08-01 18:39 | Will Lambda's valuation hit (HIGH) $7.75B by August 31? | SELL | 0.54 | $10.80 |
| 08-01 18:38 | Will Neuralink's valuation hit (HIGH) $47.5B by August 31? | SELL | 0.7 | $13.30 |
| 08-01 18:37 | Will Neuralink's valuation hit (LOW) $40B by August 31? | SELL | 0.81 | $7.29 |
| 08-01 18:36 | Will Revolut's valuation hit (HIGH) $120B by August 31? | SELL | 0.9 | $5.66 |
| 07-28 23:06 | Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on July 29? | BUY | 0.51 | $0.51 |
| 07-28 22:54 | NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on July 29? | BUY | 0.54 | $1.62 |
| 07-28 21:43 | Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on July 29? | SELL | 0.48 | $7.20 |
| 07-28 15:59 | Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $420 in July? | SELL | 0.34 | $5.10 |
| 07-28 03:41 | Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $170 Week of July 27 2026? | SELL | 0.65 | $13.00 |