0x1fd06adbea5290548df0637cf82cce686b78c6a7
0x1fd06adbea5290548df0637cf82cce686b78c6a7
- Realised P&L
- $-7.4k
- Volume
- $1.04M
- Markets traded
- 1,206
- Open portfolio
- $32.5k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,206
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration6.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration4.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$252.45at 0.318Will Joe Thuney win the NFL Protector of the Year?
- +$141.50at 0.410Will Cardi B perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?
- +$116.12at 0.568Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?
- +$68.28at 0.030Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
- +$50.51at 0.956National Bank Open, Qualification: Sofia Kenin vs Lucrezia Stefanini
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-24 00:46 | Will Maldives win on 2026-09-24? | BUY | 0.988 | $499.93 |
| 09-23 17:36 | Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? | BUY | 0.989 | $1.5k |
| 09-23 11:36 | Will FK Austria Wien win on 2026-09-23? | BUY | 0.9864808624 | $537.63 |
| 09-23 10:20 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? | BUY | 0.9942178714 | $1.5k |
| 09-23 10:20 | Will Paris FC win on 2026-09-23? | BUY | 0.982 | $536.17 |
| 09-22 10:06 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22? | SELL | 0.291 | $58.20 |
| 09-22 08:21 | Will HB Køge win on 2026-09-22? | BUY | 0.973 | $536.12 |
| 09-22 02:35 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.998 | $1.5k |
| 09-22 02:20 | Will Romeu Zema finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.998 | $1.4k |
| 09-21 16:03 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22? | BUY | 0.9799707031 | $1.0k |
| 09-21 10:33 | Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.9988029945 | $1.3k |
| 09-21 08:45 | Will there be Houthi military action against Israel by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.9815185056 | $507.58 |
| 09-21 05:30 | Israel military action against Yemen by September 30? | BUY | 0.9774903891 | $1.0k |
| 09-21 04:15 | Will Augusto Cury finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.9989699467 | $1.5k |
| 09-20 00:13 | Will Renan Santos finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.996 | $1.5k |