0x1fd06adbea5290548df0637cf82cce686b78c6a7
- Realised P&L
- $-3.4k
- Volume
- $732.2k
- Markets traded
- 947
- Open portfolio
- $19.9k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded947
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration5.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$252.45at 0.318Will Joe Thuney win the NFL Protector of the Year?
- +$141.50at 0.410Will Cardi B perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?
- +$119.44at 0.556Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?
- +$68.55at 0.030Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
- +$53.04at 0.954National Bank Open, Qualification: Sofia Kenin vs Lucrezia Stefanini
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 20:46 | Will Jay Collins be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor? | BUY | 0.9989092559 | $1.1k |
| 08-04 19:46 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.99019982 | $1.1k |
| 08-04 18:16 | Will GPT-6 be released by August 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.9796785526 | $167.32 |
| 08-04 16:45 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on August 5? | BUY | 0.996 | $1.1k |
| 08-04 16:15 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on August 5? | BUY | 0.998 | $1.1k |
| 08-04 16:15 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 5? | BUY | 0.9958334842 | $1.1k |
| 08-04 15:30 | 0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 31? | SELL | 0.0600520442 | $25.40 |
| 08-04 07:36 | Will GPT-6 be released by August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.99 | $16.83 |
| 08-04 04:06 | Will Modena FC win on 2026-08-08? | BUY | 0.996 | $1.1k |
| 08-04 01:50 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 Week of August 3 2026? | BUY | 0.99 | $10.79 |
| 08-04 00:19 | Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor? | BUY | 0.987 | $1.1k |
| 08-03 12:48 | Will Bitcoin reach $72,000 August 3-9? | BUY | 0.99 | $1.1k |
| 08-03 09:48 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on August 3? | BUY | 0.998 | $1.1k |
| 08-03 05:32 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 4? | BUY | 0.988 | $1.1k |
| 08-03 04:17 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 4? | BUY | 0.9979093472 | $1.1k |