coffebely
0x1f90059653134f0233a66f989a3b2216cf2fde11
- Realised P&L
- $-5.24
- Volume
- $18.3k
- Markets traded
- 32
- Open portfolio
- $607.16
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded32
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration30.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample7 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)85.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration22.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$152.43at 0.290Will Man I Need – Olivia Dean be the #2 song in the US for 2026?
- +$149.10at 0.674NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?
- +$139.96at 0.424Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - The International Playoffs
- +$38.16at 0.351Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winner
- +$18.28at 0.720Will Israel strike Gaza on January 22, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-30 12:38 | Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of October 2026? | BUY | 0.16 | $9.67 |
| 08-30 12:35 | Will Russia enter Dobropillia by December 31? | BUY | 0.16 | $17.99 |
| 08-28 18:12 | Will Georgia Tree win the 2026 Secret Harbour state by-election? | SELL | 0.2407843137 | $15.35 |
| 08-27 11:21 | Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.2145061921 | $39.99 |
| 08-27 11:17 | Will Trump be impeached before his term ends? | BUY | 0.3478759485 | $156.00 |
| 08-27 11:15 | Will "Pluribus" win 2 or 3 awards at the Emmys? | BUY | 0.2992533679 | $164.33 |
| 08-27 08:01 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.119999999 | $100.00 |
| 08-27 07:59 | Will Man I Need – Olivia Dean be the #2 song in the US for 2026? | SELL | 0.3627618676 | $483.12 |
| 08-27 07:23 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on August 29? | BUY | 0.1904962175 | $110.52 |
| 08-27 07:21 | Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by December 31? | BUY | 0.3880483184 | $195.38 |
| 08-25 20:14 | Will Man I Need – Olivia Dean be the #2 song in the US for 2026? | SELL | 0.39 | $275.06 |
| 08-25 17:09 | Will Kate O’Flynn – “Widow’s Bay” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actress in a comedy series? | BUY | 0.2889999021 | $1.76 |
| 08-25 12:16 | Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 National League MVP Award? | BUY | 0.3402777629 | $14.00 |
| 08-25 09:19 | Will Man I Need – Olivia Dean be the #2 song in the US for 2026? | BUY | 0.2800251781 | $595.66 |
| 08-22 18:00 | Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International Playoffs | BUY | 0.32 | $30.00 |