breamsouth
0x1f82b2a18ba98fc2cb4a3729bbb5a43e3da10db2
- Realised P&L
- $-41.41
- Volume
- $1.3k
- Markets traded
- 29
- Open portfolio
- $11.38
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded29
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration8.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample42 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration44.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.510 | $5.11 | +$0.10 |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · No | 0.500 | 0.489 | $4.89 | −$0.10 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on September 28? · Yes | 0.040 | 0.055 | $1.38 | +$0.38 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET · Up | 0.470 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$11.75 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET · Up | 0.480 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$12.00 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on September 9? · Yes | 0.085 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.86 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET · Down | 0.480 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$12.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C or below on August 19? · Yes | 0.006 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on August 19? · Yes | 0.480 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.83 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$13.00at 0.480Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET
- +$13.00at 0.480Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET
- +$13.00at 0.480Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET
- +$13.00at 0.480Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET
- +$13.00at 0.480Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-26 19:11 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on September 28? | SELL | 0.25 | $1.25 |
| 09-26 19:03 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on September 28? | BUY | 0.27 | $1.35 |
| 09-08 21:18 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on September 9? | SELL | 0.03 | $0.12 |
| 09-08 21:12 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on September 9? | BUY | 0.0845070423 | $1.20 |
| 08-18 22:21 | Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on August 19? | BUY | 0.48 | $3.84 |
| 08-18 22:18 | Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on August 19? | BUY | 0.48 | $3.99 |
| 08-18 21:54 | Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C or below on August 19? | BUY | 0.006 | $0.29 |