PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

St0nks

0x1f7d447a84caa0bf5e94606cd8133b6c4a1a7acd

Realised P&L
$-62.87
Volume
$268.1k
Markets traded
464
Open portfolio
$132.86

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded464
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration55.9% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration30.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.1650.162$40.38$0.92
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.3700.575$28.75+$10.25
Xi Jinping out before 2027? · Yes0.0670.040$15.80$11.20
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.3500.160$7.97$9.53
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0700.035$6.90$7.10
Trump out as President before 2027? · Yes0.1100.055$5.50$5.50
Will Venezuela become 51st state? · Yes0.0220.024$4.70+$0.30
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.1900.077$3.85$5.65
Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026? · Yes0.0160.011$3.36$1.53
Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes0.0050.005$3.30+$0.30
Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1100.027$2.70$8.30
Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0050.005$2.50+$0.00
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0200.013$1.88$1.13
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0070.002$1.50$5.50
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · Yes0.1900.029$1.43$8.07

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
02-28 15:07Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?SELL0.291$14.55
02-16 22:02Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 6:00PM-6:15PM ETBUY0.5099998317$0.97
02-16 22:01Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 5:45PM-6:00PM ETBUY0.5099998317$0.97
02-16 22:01Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 5:30PM-5:45PM ETBUY0.5$0.97
02-16 22:01Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 5:15PM-5:30PM ETBUY0.4899998285$0.97
02-16 22:01Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 5:00PM-5:15PM ETBUY0.4199999454$1.94
02-16 21:21Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 4:15PM-4:30PM ETBUY0.3599999208$1.95
02-16 21:20Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 4:55PM-5:00PM ETBUY0.5099998317$0.97
02-16 21:20Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 4:50PM-4:55PM ETBUY0.52$0.97
02-16 21:20Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 4:45PM-4:50PM ETBUY0.5099998317$0.97
02-16 21:20Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 4:40PM-4:45PM ETBUY0.5099998317$0.97
02-16 21:18Xi Jinping out by June 30?SELL0.035$5.29
02-16 21:17Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 4:35PM-4:40PM ETBUY0.5099998317$0.97
02-16 21:17Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 4:30PM-4:35PM ETBUY0.5099998317$0.97
02-16 21:17Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 4:25PM-4:30PM ETBUY0.5099998317$0.97