St0nks
0x1f7d447a84caa0bf5e94606cd8133b6c4a1a7acd
- Realised P&L
- $6.36
- Volume
- $268.1k
- Markets traded
- 464
- Open portfolio
- $203.45
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded464
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)34.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration34.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$229.00at 0.030Will Trump sue the BBC?
- +$151.60at 0.062Will the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + D66?
- +$151.07at 0.007Will Bruno Mars be the top Spotify artist for 2025?
- +$124.65at 0.351Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
- +$117.42at 0.138Will Nicolás Maduro be the next leader out before 2027?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02-28 15:07 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | SELL | 0.291 | $14.55 |
| 02-16 22:02 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET | BUY | 0.5099998317 | $0.97 |
| 02-16 22:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET | BUY | 0.5099998317 | $0.97 |
| 02-16 22:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $0.97 |
| 02-16 22:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET | BUY | 0.4899998285 | $0.97 |
| 02-16 22:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET | BUY | 0.4199999454 | $1.94 |
| 02-16 21:21 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET | BUY | 0.3599999208 | $1.95 |
| 02-16 21:20 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET | BUY | 0.5099998317 | $0.97 |
| 02-16 21:20 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET | BUY | 0.52 | $0.97 |
| 02-16 21:20 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET | BUY | 0.5099998317 | $0.97 |
| 02-16 21:20 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET | BUY | 0.5099998317 | $0.97 |
| 02-16 21:18 | Xi Jinping out by June 30? | SELL | 0.035 | $5.29 |
| 02-16 21:17 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET | BUY | 0.5099998317 | $0.97 |
| 02-16 21:17 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET | BUY | 0.5099998317 | $0.97 |
| 02-16 21:17 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET | BUY | 0.5099998317 | $0.97 |