PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

DavidStonebreaker1

0x1ee0ccc588ad19ecfbcb625108867d6f430bf505

Realised P&L
$-12.70
Volume
$1.5k
Markets traded
17
Open portfolio
$12.99

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded17
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample13 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)7.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration67.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be $2.50T or more? · Yes0.0050.018$8.73+$6.24
Will Simone Tebet win the most votes in the 2026 São Paulo Senate election? · Yes0.1270.084$3.44$1.75
Will Brooklyn Nets win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes0.0020.002$0.75$0.25
Will Pete Hegseth be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027? · Yes0.0560.063$0.06+$0.01

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-18 05:50Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $4.00 and $4.50 on September 30, 2026?SELL0.13$1.30
09-18 05:50Trump declassifies new UFO files by September 30?SELL0.103$1.03
09-18 05:50Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?SELL0.079$0.79
09-18 05:50Will Myriam Bregman win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?SELL0.012$0.36
09-18 05:49Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by December 31?SELL0.06$0.60
09-18 05:49Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.7% before 2027?SELL0.037$0.37
09-18 05:49Will Gleisi win the most votes in the 2026 Paraná Senate election?SELL0.002$0.08
09-18 05:46Will Pete Hegseth be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?SELL0.056$1.06
09-18 05:44Will Trump visit Gaza in 2026?SELL0.038$1.90
09-18 05:44Will Grecia Quiroz win the 2027 Michoacán Governor Election?SELL0.146$1.46
09-18 05:43Will Helena da Asatur win the most votes in the 2026 Roraima Senate election?SELL0.012$0.12
09-12 21:55Will Helena da Asatur win the most votes in the 2026 Roraima Senate election?BUY0.095487$0.95
09-12 21:54Will Gleisi win the most votes in the 2026 Paraná Senate election?BUY0.023$0.92
09-12 21:52Will Brooklyn Nets win the 2027 NBA Finals?BUY0.002$1.00
09-12 21:49Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?BUY0.21$2.10