Hosei
0x1ecad2f212a52f111be4106340eea448634a3a06
- Realised P&L
- $1.2k
- Volume
- $39.7k
- Markets traded
- 247
- Open portfolio
- $1.4k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar3.0%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded247
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration34.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No | 0.962 | 0.977 | $478.48 | +$7.24 |
| Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections? · Yes | 0.858 | 0.983 | $311.65 | +$39.36 |
| Will CDU win the second most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections? · Yes | 0.877 | 0.970 | $253.97 | +$24.15 |
| Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No | 0.971 | 0.994 | $158.96 | +$3.56 |
| Will GameStop acquire eBay? · No | 0.837 | 0.875 | $157.49 | +$6.90 |
| Will Max Verstappen retire from F1 in 2026? · No | 0.858 | 0.896 | $26.90 | +$1.15 |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? · No | 0.928 | 0.965 | $19.29 | +$0.72 |
| Will Lando Norris get pole position at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix? · Yes | 0.310 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.99 |
| Will Max Verstappen get pole position at the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix? · Yes | 0.054 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.42 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$171.77at 0.146Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?
- +$133.51at 0.328Will Max Verstappen finish third in the 2025 F1 Drivers Championship?
- +$98.57at 0.380Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?
- +$75.54at 0.784Will Charles Leclerc finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix?
- +$72.46at 0.929Will Max Verstappen leave Red Bull before 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-26 14:36 | Will Kimi Antonelli finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.91 | $9.10 |
| 07-26 13:07 | Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.79 | $7.90 |
| 07-18 14:54 | Will Max Verstappen get pole position at the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.11 | $11.00 |
| 07-05 16:52 | Will Lando Norris finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix? | SELL | 0.92 | $17.48 |
| 07-05 15:41 | Will Lando Norris finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.8 | $24.00 |
| 07-05 15:40 | Will Lando Norris finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.8432799915 | $79.78 |
| 07-05 15:38 | Will Lando Norris finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.849 | $10.18 |
| 07-05 15:38 | Will Lando Norris finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.85 | $12.75 |
| 07-05 15:37 | Will Lando Norris finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.86 | $34.40 |
| 07-05 15:32 | Will Lando Norris finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.9 | $100.17 |
| 07-05 15:29 | Will Lando Norris finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.9561366782 | $22.11 |
| 07-05 15:29 | Will Lando Norris finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.9200610093 | $109.94 |
| 07-05 15:28 | Will George Russell finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.8913333333 | $80.22 |
| 07-05 15:09 | Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.909987002 | $559.38 |
| 07-05 14:44 | Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.366 | $3.66 |