PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

Hosei

0x1ecad2f212a52f111be4106340eea448634a3a06

Realised P&L
$1.2k
Volume
$39.7k
Markets traded
247
Open portfolio
$1.4k

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar3.0%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded247
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration20.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration34.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No0.9620.977$478.48+$7.24
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections? · Yes0.8580.983$311.65+$39.36
Will CDU win the second most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections? · Yes0.8770.970$253.97+$24.15
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No0.9710.994$158.96+$3.56
Will GameStop acquire eBay? · No0.8370.875$157.49+$6.90
Will Max Verstappen retire from F1 in 2026? · No0.8580.896$26.90+$1.15
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? · No0.9280.965$19.29+$0.72
Will Lando Norris get pole position at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix? · Yes0.3100.000$0.00$1.99
Will Max Verstappen get pole position at the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix? · Yes0.0540.000$0.00$1.42

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-26 14:36Will Kimi Antonelli finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?BUY0.91$9.10
07-26 13:07Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?BUY0.79$7.90
07-18 14:54Will Max Verstappen get pole position at the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?BUY0.11$11.00
07-05 16:52Will Lando Norris finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?SELL0.92$17.48
07-05 15:41Will Lando Norris finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?BUY0.8$24.00
07-05 15:40Will Lando Norris finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?BUY0.8432799915$79.78
07-05 15:38Will Lando Norris finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?BUY0.849$10.18
07-05 15:38Will Lando Norris finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?BUY0.85$12.75
07-05 15:37Will Lando Norris finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?BUY0.86$34.40
07-05 15:32Will Lando Norris finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?BUY0.9$100.17
07-05 15:29Will Lando Norris finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?BUY0.9561366782$22.11
07-05 15:29Will Lando Norris finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?BUY0.9200610093$109.94
07-05 15:28Will George Russell finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?BUY0.8913333333$80.22
07-05 15:09Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?BUY0.909987002$559.38
07-05 14:44Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?BUY0.366$3.66