PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x1Ec8901dB95a84E4661184cD8Ed44E6DA9071451-1778406824505

0x1ec8901db95a84e4661184cd8ed44e6da9071451

Realised P&L
$-9.03
Volume
$535.89
Markets traded
41
Open portfolio
$21.58

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded41
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration39.9% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample14 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration21.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.2480.203$4.55$1.01
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.3030.360$4.52+$0.72
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.4500.595$3.97+$0.97
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0900.045$3.50$3.50
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series? · Yes0.4000.315$2.24$0.61
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a technocrat? · Yes0.4200.296$1.41$0.59
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? · Yes0.0730.029$0.78$1.22
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? · Yes0.5700.046$0.55$6.30
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? · Yes0.1200.005$0.05$0.95
Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17? · Yes0.5400.000$0.00$2.00
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? · Yes0.0700.000$0.00$1.85
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds · Cincinnati Reds0.5900.000$0.00$3.00
Miami Marlins vs. New York Mets · New York Mets0.4900.000$0.00$2.00
Will Marcelo attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? · Yes0.3000.000$0.00$1.69
Will Shandong Taishan FC win on 2026-07-26? · Yes0.4800.000$0.00$1.91

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-09 17:42Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.3029999475$3.80
08-09 17:40Will Marcelo attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?BUY0.2999998935$1.69
08-02 15:41Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.2109999419$2.48
08-02 15:39Miami Marlins vs. New York MetsBUY0.4899999534$2.00
08-02 15:39Indiana Fever vs. Minnesota LynxBUY0.3599999208$2.00
08-02 15:38Washington Nationals vs. Atlanta BravesBUY0.5299999505$3.00
08-02 15:38St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati RedsBUY0.5899999272$3.00
08-02 15:36Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.4499999625$3.00
08-02 15:36Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series?BUY0.4$2.85
07-23 12:55CA Sarmiento vs. AA Argentinos Juniors: O/U 2.5BUY0.3099999306$2.68
07-23 12:54Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. PFK CSKA Sofia: Both Teams to ScoreBUY0.4699998919$2.00
07-23 12:54Will Kalmar FF win on 2026-07-25?BUY0.4099999446$2.00
07-23 12:53Will Santos FC win on 2026-07-25?BUY0.6899999586$2.00
07-23 12:53Will Shandong Taishan FC win on 2026-07-26?BUY0.4799999497$1.91
07-23 12:50Hamburg European Open: Oleksandra Oliynykova vs Leyre Romero GormazBUY0.72$2.00