PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x1ec79c0932EcB281fC830210f046624aB05f12F7-1767397846994

0x1ec79c0932ecb281fc830210f046624ab05f12f7

Realised P&L
$-1.5k
Volume
$225.0k
Markets traded
545
Open portfolio
$3.1k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded545
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration21.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)26.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration14.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-11-03? · Yes0.7910.785$446.36−$3.64
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-11-03? · Yes0.6160.605$243.87−$4.23
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-11-04? · Yes0.7650.775$202.69+$2.69
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-11-04? · Yes0.6200.625$201.61+$1.61
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-11-07? · Yes0.8600.845$196.51−$3.49
Will AfD be in the next Sachsen-Anhalt state government? · Yes0.4400.615$139.77+$39.77
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? · No0.8070.875$108.35+$8.35
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-11-07? · Yes0.7100.755$106.34+$6.34
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-11-08? · Yes0.5700.595$104.39+$4.39
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-11-04? · Yes0.7600.755$99.34−$0.66
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-11-08? · Yes0.5400.535$99.07−$0.93
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2027? · No0.3100.305$98.39−$1.61
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-11-04? · Yes0.5800.565$97.41−$2.59
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-11-07? · Yes0.6000.565$94.17−$5.83
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? · No0.8900.865$87.47−$2.53

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 18:28Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-11-03?BUY0.5999999992$148.10
11-01 18:27Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-11-04?BUY0.7799999995$100.00
11-01 18:27Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-11-04?BUY0.5799999979$100.00
11-01 18:27Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-11-04?BUY0.7599999985$100.00
11-01 18:26Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-11-04?BUY0.6199999991$200.00
11-01 18:25UFC Fight Night: Johnny Walker vs. Waldo Cortes Acosta (Heavyweight, Main Card)BUY0.4413590699$50.00
11-01 10:42Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-11-01?BUY0.8199999997$250.00
11-01 10:41Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-11-03?BUY0.7899999998$300.00
10-27 14:03Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-11-08?BUY0.5399999976$100.00
10-27 14:03Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-11-07?BUY0.709999998$100.00
10-27 14:02Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-31?BUY0.8899999996$100.00
10-27 14:02Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-11-01?BUY0.8099999998$150.00
10-27 14:02Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-31?BUY0.89$200.00
10-27 14:01Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-31?BUY0.6099999985$100.00
10-27 14:01Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-11-08?BUY0.5699999983$100.00