0x1E9C97615641E5e0B85B269deD4031Dd4d1cBeF4-1774230613279
0x1e9c97615641e5e0b85b269ded4031dd4d1cbef4
- Realised P&L
- $32.40
- Volume
- $547.48
- Markets traded
- 3
- Open portfolio
- $255.07
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar5.9%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded3
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- CautionOpen concentration87.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes | 0.390 | 0.445 | $222.50 | +$27.50 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes | 0.823 | 0.895 | $24.70 | +$2.00 |
| Will LIV Golf announce shutdown in 2026? · Yes | 0.250 | 0.396 | $7.88 | +$2.90 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-10 02:20 | Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.84 | $8.40 |
| 05-15 22:51 | Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.7899999921 | $1.00 |
| 05-15 22:49 | Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.7899999921 | $1.00 |
| 05-15 22:32 | Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.7899999921 | $1.00 |
| 05-15 22:01 | Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.7899999921 | $1.00 |
| 05-15 21:59 | Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.7899999921 | $1.00 |
| 05-15 21:54 | Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.7899999921 | $1.00 |