DilanOBrian
0x1e9c5e57daee65a5fba0ca86b01651858f684148
- Realised P&L
- $2.05
- Volume
- $22.1k
- Markets traded
- 131
- Open portfolio
- $16.67
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded131
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration6.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration13.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$30.04at 0.993Nuggets vs. Thunder
- +$2.68at 0.997Will Elon tweet 500-549 times Feb 14-21?
- +$2.50at 0.410Wild vs. Golden Knights
- +$1.37at 0.450Will Fulham win on 2025-02-15?
- +$1.34at 0.560Braves vs. Brewers
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-17 13:09 | Critical Discord Incident by October 31? | BUY | 0.9 | $1.78 |
| 10-08 03:33 | Will Daniele Monroe-Moreno win the 2026 North Las Vegas mayoral election? | BUY | 0.8199999101 | $2.19 |
| 09-28 10:05 | Will "Forgotten Island" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 13m? | BUY | 0.798999926 | $1.63 |
| 09-18 10:42 | Cilia Flores released from custody by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9 | $1.53 |
| 09-08 07:04 | Phan Thiet 3: Sergio Callejon vs Ilia Simakin | BUY | 0.8299999637 | $2.06 |
| 09-08 07:04 | Will Fernando Dias da Costa win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? | SELL | 0.652 | $1.07 |
| 08-23 10:50 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? | BUY | 0.9709999988 | $1.67 |
| 08-13 11:09 | Total Internet Blackout in Iran by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.919999979 | $1.75 |
| 08-06 11:09 | Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30? | BUY | 0.8899998254 | $1.58 |
| 07-30 08:05 | T20 Namibia Quadrangular Series, Women: Hong Kong, China vs Tanzania | BUY | 0.7599999357 | $1.89 |
| 07-23 11:27 | US strike on Colombia by December 31? | BUY | 0.7699999285 | $1.83 |
| 07-16 11:58 | Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.91 | $1.63 |
| 07-16 11:57 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.48 | $0.82 |
| 07-09 09:34 | Will Fernando Dias da Costa win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? | BUY | 0.9679999513 | $1.59 |
| 07-01 14:00 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8099999592 | $1.39 |