PolyBot

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Traders

Simyi

0x1e8551c1bb306810eb0d3edb8c45ee8515c88aaa

Realised P&L
$-436.10
Volume
$336.5k
Markets traded
207
Open portfolio
$81.87

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded207
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration12.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration18.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027? · Yes0.1680.042$14.99−$45.01
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? · Yes0.1800.041$12.15−$41.85
Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026? · Yes0.0310.047$10.43+$3.55
Will Israel strike 9 countries in 2026? · Yes0.0080.004$10.40−$14.30
Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.0040.009$8.55+$4.95
Will Yoaz Hendel be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.0060.002$4.67−$14.49
Will Hassan Shariatmadari be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · Yes0.0030.001$4.07−$9.57
Will Maryam Rajavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · Yes0.0040.004$3.66+$0.59
Will Ali Motahari be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · Yes0.0030.001$3.43−$6.87
Will Gideon Sa’ar be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.0030.002$2.55−$3.12
Will Trump endorse JD Vance for president before 2027? · Yes0.1300.044$2.19−$4.29
Will Masoud Pezeshkian be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · Yes0.0040.004$2.19−$0.31
Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.0090.003$1.45−$2.90
Will Benny Gantz be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.0040.002$0.68−$1.13
Will Nir Barkat be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.0030.001$0.45−$0.90

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-22 21:23Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?BUY0.2269999935$20.00
08-22 21:05Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?SELL0.071$2.56
08-22 17:58Will USD be between 2.0M and 2.1M Iranian rials on August 31?BUY0.215$1.07
08-16 21:51Will 200-219 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between August 10-August 16?BUY0.1381236197$7.00
08-16 21:47Iran full airspace closure by September 30?BUY0.15$30.00
08-13 20:22Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?BUY0.1385289782$5.00
08-13 20:20Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?BUY0.0967653514$27.93
08-12 22:41Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.006$19.09
07-16 11:32Will there be 80 or more average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?SELL0.003$1.13
07-16 11:09Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.4179999982$50.00
07-15 22:47Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?SELL0.42$42.00
07-15 22:41Will there be between 60 and 80 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?BUY0.0113183279$3.45
07-15 22:38Will there be between 60 and 80 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?BUY0.0073907605$3.00
07-15 22:32Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman by September 30, 2026?SELL0.0454918033$2.78
07-15 22:27Will there be between 60 and 80 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?BUY0.0062654679$2.00