Simyi
0x1e8551c1bb306810eb0d3edb8c45ee8515c88aaa
- Realised P&L
- $-557.56
- Volume
- $337.0k
- Markets traded
- 207
- Open portfolio
- $128.48
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded207
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration24.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$257.81at 0.180Will USD reach 1.7M Iranian rials by February 28?
- +$232.28at 0.026Will Hassan Rouhani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
- +$195.23at 0.166France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?
- +$189.74at 0.203Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
- +$184.43at 0.064Will USD be between 1.7M and 1.8M Iranian rials on June 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-22 21:23 | Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.2269999935 | $20.00 |
| 08-22 21:05 | Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.071 | $2.56 |
| 08-22 17:58 | Will USD be between 2.0M and 2.1M Iranian rials on August 31? | BUY | 0.215 | $1.07 |
| 08-16 21:51 | Will 200-219 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between August 10-August 16? | BUY | 0.1381236197 | $7.00 |
| 08-16 21:47 | Iran full airspace closure by September 30? | BUY | 0.15 | $30.00 |
| 08-13 20:22 | Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1385289782 | $5.00 |
| 08-13 20:20 | Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.0967653514 | $27.93 |
| 08-12 22:41 | Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.006 | $19.09 |
| 07-16 11:32 | Will there be 80 or more average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31? | SELL | 0.003 | $1.13 |
| 07-16 11:09 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.4179999982 | $50.00 |
| 07-15 22:47 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | SELL | 0.42 | $42.00 |
| 07-15 22:41 | Will there be between 60 and 80 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31? | BUY | 0.0113183279 | $3.45 |
| 07-15 22:38 | Will there be between 60 and 80 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31? | BUY | 0.0073907605 | $3.00 |
| 07-15 22:32 | Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.0454918033 | $2.78 |
| 07-15 22:27 | Will there be between 60 and 80 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31? | BUY | 0.0062654679 | $2.00 |