0x1e751386629ccdc5d823b2cf24e257eedb824a76
0x1e751386629ccdc5d823b2cf24e257eedb824a76
- Realised P&L
- $-6.97
- Volume
- $191.92
- Markets traded
- 59
- Open portfolio
- $3.50
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded59
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration35.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026? · No | 0.690 | 0.855 | $1.24 | +$0.24 |
| Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 18? · Yes | 0.680 | 0.740 | $1.09 | +$0.09 |
| Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 20, 2026? · No | 0.685 | 0.696 | $1.02 | +$0.02 |
| Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision? · Yes | 0.499 | 0.080 | $0.16 | −$0.84 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.61at 0.308Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $67 Week of August 31 2026?
- +$4.38at 0.321Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?
- +$3.31at 0.239Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?
- +$1.91at 0.351Will Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in September?
- +$1.83at 0.359SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 16?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-17 16:05 | Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 18? | BUY | 0.6799998912 | $1.00 |
| 10-17 05:01 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026? | BUY | 0.6899999586 | $1.00 |
| 10-16 20:57 | Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 20, 2026? | BUY | 0.6849997911 | $1.00 |
| 10-16 12:30 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 16? | BUY | 0.3499999825 | $1.00 |
| 10-16 03:59 | Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision? | BUY | 0.498999755 | $1.00 |
| 10-15 19:50 | Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+? | BUY | 0.6899999586 | $1.00 |
| 10-15 11:32 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 15? | BUY | 0.59999988 | $1.00 |
| 10-15 03:17 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 15? | BUY | 0.6899999586 | $1.00 |
| 10-13 19:05 | Will annual inflation be 3.7% in September? | BUY | 0.3899999337 | $1.00 |
| 10-13 19:04 | Will annual inflation be 3.7% in September? | BUY | 0.6199998512 | $1.00 |
| 10-11 11:01 | Will Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in September? | BUY | 0.3399999388 | $1.00 |
| 10-11 02:58 | Will Goldman Sachs (GS) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.4299998882 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 17:43 | Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.5559997376 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 09:40 | Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.4499998425 | $1.00 |
| 10-04 08:11 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.75 | $1.00 |