PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

0x1e751386629ccdc5d823b2cf24e257eedb824a76

0x1e751386629ccdc5d823b2cf24e257eedb824a76

Realised P&L
$-6.97
Volume
$191.92
Markets traded
59
Open portfolio
$3.50

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded59
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration15.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration35.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026? · No0.6900.855$1.24+$0.24
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 18? · Yes0.6800.740$1.09+$0.09
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 20, 2026? · No0.6850.696$1.02+$0.02
Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision? · Yes0.4990.080$0.16−$0.84

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-17 16:05Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 18?BUY0.6799998912$1.00
10-17 05:01Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?BUY0.6899999586$1.00
10-16 20:57Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 20, 2026?BUY0.6849997911$1.00
10-16 12:30SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 16?BUY0.3499999825$1.00
10-16 03:59Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision?BUY0.498999755$1.00
10-15 19:50Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+?BUY0.6899999586$1.00
10-15 11:32SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 15?BUY0.59999988$1.00
10-15 03:17S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 15?BUY0.6899999586$1.00
10-13 19:05Will annual inflation be 3.7% in September?BUY0.3899999337$1.00
10-13 19:04Will annual inflation be 3.7% in September?BUY0.6199998512$1.00
10-11 11:01Will Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in September?BUY0.3399999388$1.00
10-11 02:58Will Goldman Sachs (GS) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.4299998882$1.00
10-09 17:43Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?BUY0.5559997376$1.00
10-09 09:40Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?BUY0.4499998425$1.00
10-04 08:11Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?BUY0.75$1.00