FranDeOrellana
0x1e719289a49c5720bbd5dce8b8408bfd25b339ce
- Realised P&L
- $1.3k
- Volume
- $17.6k
- Markets traded
- 88
- Open portfolio
- $1.2k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar7.5%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded88
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration37.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$282.35at 0.151Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
- +$239.85at 0.747Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?
- +$189.99at 0.393Will Ed Gallrein win the 2026 KY-04 Republican Primary Election by 9% or more?
- +$142.92at 0.329Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
- +$138.12at 0.774Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-04 20:00 | Spain snap election called by October 31? | BUY | 0.5960776149 | $100.00 |
| 10-03 23:08 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.4159584039 | $50.00 |
| 10-03 12:20 | Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.3399999989 | $50.00 |
| 10-03 12:19 | Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.5710066403 | $40.00 |
| 10-03 12:18 | Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.4099999984 | $50.00 |
| 10-03 12:18 | Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.6599999996 | $405.00 |
| 10-03 10:12 | Will LPV come 2nd place in the next Latvian parliamentary elections? | BUY | 0.4899999944 | $20.00 |
| 10-03 10:11 | Will LPV come 2nd place in the next Latvian parliamentary elections? | BUY | 0.46 | $9.20 |
| 10-01 19:43 | Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.3899999976 | $50.00 |
| 10-01 19:41 | Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.589999998 | $50.00 |
| 09-22 19:43 | Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.2699999978 | $30.00 |
| 09-22 14:05 | Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.6799999981 | $100.00 |
| 09-22 14:04 | Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.3638878962 | $30.00 |
| 09-22 13:59 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House | BUY | 0.2899999989 | $40.00 |
| 09-20 20:12 | Will AfD win the second-most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | SELL | 0.0100642731 | $0.85 |