TheCondor1329
0x1e54a63e0800d2b5a6558a5bbd1030ce6750b059
- Realised P&L
- $-1.3k
- Volume
- $52.0k
- Markets traded
- 35
- Open portfolio
- $952.00
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded35
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration41.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample11 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)36.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration88.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$15.64at 0.390Israel withdraws from Gaza in 2025?
- +$13.50at 0.730Will Sergio Perez leave Red Bull?
- +$5.57at 0.700Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?
- +$2.94at 0.860Will Norway finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?
- +$-5.51at 0.290Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-14 13:46 | Will Maura Higgins win Dancing With the Stars: Season 35? | BUY | 0.1307519157 | $10.00 |
| 09-08 17:18 | Will Borussia Dortmund win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | BUY | 0.01 | $52.00 |
| 08-28 14:33 | Will Brentford win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | BUY | 0.006 | $26.20 |
| 08-28 14:32 | Will Leeds United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | BUY | 0.002 | $20.00 |
| 08-28 14:30 | Will Brentford win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | BUY | 0.006 | $30.00 |
| 06-22 14:50 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.132 | $316.80 |
| 05-22 11:58 | Will Gerry Hutch win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election? | BUY | 0.057 | $2.85 |
| 05-16 11:27 | Will Czechia win Eurovision 2026? | BUY | 0.004 | $20.00 |
| 05-06 19:51 | Will Malta win Eurovision 2026? | BUY | 0.02341794 | $23.42 |
| 05-06 19:47 | Will Malta win Eurovision 2026? | BUY | 0.023 | $23.00 |
| 05-05 10:11 | Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? | SELL | 0.27 | $51.92 |
| 05-02 16:45 | Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? | BUY | 0.35 | $89.70 |
| 05-01 17:25 | Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? | BUY | 0.24 | $168.00 |
| 04-03 18:13 | Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.13 | $50.05 |
| 03-01 03:50 | Will the US strike Somalia next? | BUY | 0.075 | $18.45 |