tretii2
0x1e337360608fa69b9544c13078db71d46c6d759a
- Realised P&L
- $-252.20
- Volume
- $8.9k
- Markets traded
- 433
- Open portfolio
- $6.50
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded433
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration57.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)24.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration19.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will AfD win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? · Yes | 0.004 | 0.005 | $1.25 | +$0.25 |
| Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yes | 0.180 | 0.165 | $0.92 | −$0.08 |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2028? · Yes | 0.250 | 0.225 | $0.90 | −$0.10 |
| Will there be 4 or more North Korea tests in September 2026? · Yes | 0.284 | 0.248 | $0.88 | −$0.12 |
| Will “Confessions II – The Film” by Madonna win Video of the Year at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards? · Yes | 0.220 | 0.190 | $0.86 | −$0.14 |
| Will Markus Söder be the next Chancellor of Germany? · Yes | 0.220 | 0.155 | $0.70 | −$0.30 |
| Will Russia enter Dobropillia by December 31? · No | 0.120 | 0.060 | $0.50 | −$0.50 |
| Will AI solve the Hodge Conjecture in 2026? · Yes | 0.370 | 0.180 | $0.49 | −$0.51 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$84.03at 0.396Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET
- +$15.50at 0.508Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET
- +$13.36at 0.796Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 10?
- +$11.36at 0.880Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 7?
- +$10.64at 0.979Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 11?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-21 12:27 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET | BUY | 0.1499999925 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 12:27 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET | SELL | 0.18 | $0.86 |
| 09-21 12:26 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET | BUY | 0.2099999895 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 12:25 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET | SELL | 0.34 | $1.31 |
| 09-21 12:25 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET | BUY | 0.2599999896 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 12:18 | Greenland snap election called by December 31? | SELL | 0.1 | $0.91 |
| 09-21 12:17 | Will "Bass Persuades" - Miley Cyrus first week album sales be between 40k and 50k? | SELL | 0.17 | $0.89 |
| 09-21 11:08 | Will Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026 be less than 0.5%? | SELL | 0.0074243176 | $0.12 |
| 09-21 06:40 | Greenland snap election called by December 31? | BUY | 0.109999989 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 06:39 | Will Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026 be less than 0.5%? | BUY | 0.0619999971 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 06:38 | Will Russia enter Dobropillia by December 31? | BUY | 0.1199999904 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 06:37 | Will AfD win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | BUY | 0.0043855802 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 06:36 | Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.1799999856 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 06:34 | Will there be 4 or more North Korea tests in September 2026? | BUY | 0.2839999807 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 06:34 | Will Markus Söder be the next Chancellor of Germany? | BUY | 0.219999978 | $1.00 |