0x7308
0x1e313b649b6932c3c3c73b89ff9254b2989a594b
- Realised P&L
- $-157.68
- Volume
- $65.0k
- Markets traded
- 2,264
- Open portfolio
- $56.95
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,264
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- BlockerProfit concentration98.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)4.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration72.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will a hurricane make landfall in Hawaii before 2027? · No | 0.920 | 0.820 | $41.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will John R. "Buster" Brown win the 2026 Collin County Judge election? · No | 0.880 | 0.785 | $15.70 | −$1.90 |
| Will Red Bull Salzburg finish first in UEL league phase? · Yes | 0.070 | 0.021 | $0.25 | −$0.59 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$21.72at 0.580Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET
- +$18.59at 0.472Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET
- +$18.07at 0.627Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET
- +$17.40at 0.596Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET
- +$17.32at 0.577Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 00:35 | Will Barrett Pfeiffer win Big Brother season 28? | SELL | 0.91 | $5.81 |
| 09-18 00:35 | Will Barrett Pfeiffer win Big Brother season 28? | SELL | 0.923 | $12.57 |
| 09-18 00:02 | Will Bradley Barcola score the most goals in the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League? | SELL | 0.004 | $0.08 |
| 09-17 23:23 | Elon Musk signs the Pacing the Frontier statement by September 30? | SELL | 0.05 | $5.00 |
| 09-17 22:58 | Will there be between 35 and 39 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on September 30? | SELL | 0.051 | $0.20 |
| 09-17 22:58 | Will there be between 35 and 39 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on September 30? | SELL | 0.074 | $1.19 |
| 09-17 21:38 | Will the Republican Party win the FL-15 House seat? | SELL | 0.913 | $12.90 |
| 09-17 21:33 | Will the Democratic Party win the FL-15 House seat? | SELL | 0.923 | $18.46 |
| 09-17 21:29 | Will Ilhan Omar be deported in 2026? | SELL | 0.014 | $0.56 |
| 09-17 18:50 | Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) be in the next Swedish government? | SELL | 0.03 | $1.50 |
| 09-17 18:41 | Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.9 | $90.00 |
| 09-17 18:24 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.941 | $183.21 |
| 09-17 18:24 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.942 | $4.99 |
| 09-17 17:57 | Will the Democratic Party win the IL-15 House seat? | SELL | 0.03 | $0.60 |
| 09-17 17:54 | Will the Republican Party win the OH-02 House seat? | SELL | 0.04 | $0.80 |