PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

maracat

0x1e254d9232d8b1eb94a18df2d4b778dc562d8e9b

Realised P&L
$-119.20
Volume
$31.3k
Markets traded
724
Open portfolio
$181.77

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded724
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration18.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration28.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Yevhen Khmara appointed as Ukrainian Minister of Defence by August 31? · Yes0.7500.770$51.77+$1.34
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026? · No0.8900.885$44.25$0.25
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.1200.115$17.25$0.75
Will RU Saint-Gilloise win on 2026-08-04? · No0.5700.605$15.73+$0.91
Will FK Dynamo Kyiv win on 2026-08-06? · No0.5500.565$10.17+$0.27
Will AC Sparta Praha win on 2026-08-04? · No0.7200.725$10.15+$0.07
Will PFK CSKA Sofia win on 2026-08-06? · No0.7700.745$9.69$0.32
Will FC Sheriff Tiraspol win on 2026-08-06? · No0.7500.755$7.55+$0.05
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? · Yes0.2000.195$3.90$0.10
Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by August 31, 2026? · Yes0.1000.065$3.58$1.93
Will FC St. Gallen win on 2026-08-06? · Yes0.5200.505$3.03$0.09
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Turkey before 2027? · Yes0.0160.017$2.13+$0.10
Will Elon register any party before 2027? · Yes0.0360.033$1.65$0.15
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in US before 2027? · Yes0.0200.016$1.60$0.40
Will Lionel Messi score 9+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.6200.000$0.00$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-04 02:00Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?BUY0.2$4.00
08-04 01:33Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Turkey before 2027?BUY0.017$1.28
08-04 01:30Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Turkey before 2027?BUY0.015$0.75
08-04 01:29Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in US before 2027?BUY0.02$2.00
08-04 01:20Will Elon register any party before 2027?BUY0.036$1.80
08-04 01:15Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?BUY0.89$44.50
08-04 00:56Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?BUY0.12$18.00
08-03 08:10Will FC St. Gallen win on 2026-08-06?BUY0.52$3.12
08-03 08:09Will FC Sheriff Tiraspol win on 2026-08-06?BUY0.75$7.50
08-03 08:09Will FK Dynamo Kyiv win on 2026-08-06?BUY0.55$9.90
08-03 08:08Will PFK CSKA Sofia win on 2026-08-06?BUY0.77$10.01
08-03 08:07Will AC Sparta Praha win on 2026-08-04?BUY0.72$10.08
08-03 08:05Will RU Saint-Gilloise win on 2026-08-04?BUY0.57$14.82
08-02 08:56Will Trump visit North Korea by December 31?SELL0.06$8.27
08-01 23:38Will D.C. United SC win on 2026-08-01?BUY0.6599999842$10.00