michaelcorleone
0x1e1f6f72076ae2e64a163aa94091f174ee8eb832
- Realised P&L
- $-571.68
- Volume
- $14.7k
- Markets traded
- 634
- Open portfolio
- $79.82
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded634
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration6.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration10.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$44.91at 0.175Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-17?
- +$22.09at 0.530Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
- +$21.25at 0.150Will Venezuela win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?
- +$17.75at 0.290Will Sweden qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$15.58at 0.310Will Powell say "Recession" during March press conference?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-13 19:13 | Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0519999999 | $500.00 |
| 05-13 11:17 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 18? | BUY | 0.82 | $12.10 |
| 05-12 16:03 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 17? | BUY | 0.8 | $13.77 |
| 05-12 16:02 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on May 13? | BUY | 0.5 | $19.23 |
| 05-12 12:40 | Will Trump say "Hong Kong" during events with Xi Jinping? | BUY | 0.87 | $4.92 |
| 05-12 07:17 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 18? | BUY | 0.64 | $11.96 |
| 05-11 16:22 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 17? | BUY | 0.73 | $20.00 |
| 05-11 11:05 | Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $680 in May? | BUY | 0.87 | $4.36 |
| 05-11 11:03 | Will Estral Esports win CD 2026 Split 1? | BUY | 0.858 | $4.30 |
| 05-11 11:02 | Will Simone Venturini win the 2026 Venice mayoral election? | BUY | 0.86 | $4.31 |
| 05-11 11:01 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | BUY | 0.86 | $4.31 |
| 05-11 11:00 | Will Italy be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026? | BUY | 0.87 | $4.36 |
| 05-11 10:57 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 22°C on May 12? | BUY | 0.87 | $4.35 |
| 05-11 10:54 | Will Russia enter Kindrashivka by May 31? | BUY | 0.86 | $4.30 |
| 05-11 10:52 | Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.87 | $4.35 |