PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x1E13c83d9BbDF8247c0f9e0d3D1A5cee7bD92AC4-1766043683669

0x1e13c83d9bbdf8247c0f9e0d3d1a5cee7bd92ac4

Realised P&L
$-2.8k
Volume
$107.7k
Markets traded
277
Open portfolio
$299.59

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded277
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration19.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration74.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
US recession by end of 2026? · No0.7560.905$223.68+$36.83
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? · Yes0.3010.075$60.35$181.59
Any country withdraws from EU before 2027? · Yes0.0620.018$9.29$23.55
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · Yes0.1750.029$6.27$32.24
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League? · No0.3800.000$0.00$3.07
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1330.000$0.00$19.96
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals? · Yes0.3700.000$0.00$40.71
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30? · Yes0.0700.000$0.00$31.37

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-30 07:43Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.998$100.84
03-18 07:56Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 3AM ETBUY0.97$188.99
03-18 06:23Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 2AM ETBUY0.18$37.40
03-18 06:19Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 2AM ETBUY0.217762331$45.08
03-17 17:39Will Arizona win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?BUY0.182$17.80
03-17 17:39Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?BUY0.19$39.91
03-17 17:37Will Duke win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?BUY0.2$20.00
03-17 13:58Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 9AM ETBUY0.9351589479$173.54
03-17 13:54Bitcoin Up or Down on March 17?BUY0.63$9.13
03-17 13:14Bitcoin Up or Down on March 17?BUY0.74$5.77
03-17 13:14Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 9AM ETBUY0.45$9.33
03-17 11:07Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?BUY0.72190478$151.63
03-17 10:07Will Florida win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?BUY0.102892615$8.35
03-17 06:58Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?BUY0.731$153.54
03-17 06:54Will Duke win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?BUY0.2041658732$42.88