PolyBot

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Traders

0x1e03803943d35880bb499ec732c54f09e450596f

0x1e03803943d35880bb499ec732c54f09e450596f

Realised P&L
$0.59
Volume
$6.9k
Markets traded
56
Open portfolio
$107.81

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded56
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration19.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration54.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.2930.860$58.67+$38.67
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? · No0.7400.735$19.59−$0.13
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? · Yes0.3900.540$13.05+$3.63
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record? · Yes0.3890.285$7.11−$2.60
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? · No0.6100.585$4.79−$0.20
John Ratcliffe out as CIA Director by December 31? · Yes0.2200.210$4.60−$0.22

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-14 09:36John Ratcliffe out as CIA Director by December 31?BUY0.2199999991$4.82
10-14 00:30Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?BUY0.739999979$4.93
10-14 00:30Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?BUY0.739999979$4.93
10-14 00:30Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?BUY0.739999979$4.93
10-14 00:30Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?BUY0.739999979$4.93
07-17 11:43Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?SELL0.61$0.33
06-24 09:02Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 21, 2026?BUY0.9$4.96
06-24 06:52Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026?BUY0.85$5.91
06-24 02:01Will Adriano Espaillat be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?SELL0.995$10.60
06-24 01:56Will Adriano Espaillat be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?SELL0.995$1.77
06-22 00:03Will Adriano Espaillat be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?BUY0.3899999646$4.85
06-21 15:33Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 158m and 171m?BUY0.8399999865$4.97
06-21 08:40Starmer out by June 30, 2026?SELL0.86$0.05
06-21 08:34Starmer out by June 30, 2026?SELL0.86$0.09
06-21 08:34Starmer out by June 30, 2026?SELL0.86$0.03