PolyBot

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Traders

amos77

0x1def3c4f405443087a924cd9d5ae4a9601fed5b7

Realised P&L
$-15.16
Volume
$826.40
Markets traded
22
Open portfolio
$4.52

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded22
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration32.9% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample16 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)68.8%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration75.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.3610.485$3.40+$0.87
Will Spain win the UEFA EURO 2028? · Yes0.2300.225$1.13−$0.03
Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01? · Yes0.2600.000$0.00−$8.70
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? · Yes0.6400.000$0.00−$12.80
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-18? · Yes0.0700.000$0.00−$1.05
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-08? · Yes0.6470.000$0.00−$14.54
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0820.000$0.00−$5.00
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier · Team Falcons0.7490.000$0.00−$37.45

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-06 20:49Will Spain win the UEFA EURO 2028?BUY0.23$1.15
07-22 19:12Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - BLAST Bounty QualifierBUY0.749$37.45
07-22 19:11Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 3:10PM-3:15PM ETSELL0.62$30.39
07-22 19:08Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 3:10PM-3:15PM ETBUY0.5099999988$25.00
07-01 18:38Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?BUY0.26$8.70
06-16 20:49Will France win on 2026-06-16?SELL0.99$22.16
06-16 13:15Will France win on 2026-06-16?BUY0.6699999915$15.00
05-31 21:13Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C or higher on May 29?SELL0.999$4.05
05-27 21:09Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C or higher on May 29?BUY0.7399999457$3.00
05-18 20:30Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.361$2.53
05-17 15:48Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?BUY0.83$9.96
05-13 02:11Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?BUY0.553999991$9.76
04-04 18:40Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-08?BUY0.64$14.23
04-04 18:39Counter-Strike: G2 vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 WinnerSELL0.999$14.55
04-04 16:37Counter-Strike: G2 vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 WinnerBUY0.6799999946$9.81