amos77
0x1def3c4f405443087a924cd9d5ae4a9601fed5b7
- Realised P&L
- $-15.16
- Volume
- $826.40
- Markets traded
- 22
- Open portfolio
- $4.52
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded22
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration32.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample16 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration75.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.361 | 0.485 | $3.40 | +$0.87 |
| Will Spain win the UEFA EURO 2028? · Yes | 0.230 | 0.225 | $1.13 | −$0.03 |
| Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01? · Yes | 0.260 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.70 |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? · Yes | 0.640 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$12.80 |
| Will Qatar win on 2026-06-18? · Yes | 0.070 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.05 |
| Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-08? · Yes | 0.647 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$14.54 |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.082 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier · Team Falcons | 0.749 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$37.45 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$25.80at 0.140Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$15.43at 0.558Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET
- +$7.01at 0.677Will France win on 2026-06-16?
- +$6.10at 0.390Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET
- +$6.00at 0.800Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-07-21?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-06 20:49 | Will Spain win the UEFA EURO 2028? | BUY | 0.23 | $1.15 |
| 07-22 19:12 | Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier | BUY | 0.749 | $37.45 |
| 07-22 19:11 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET | SELL | 0.62 | $30.39 |
| 07-22 19:08 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET | BUY | 0.5099999988 | $25.00 |
| 07-01 18:38 | Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01? | BUY | 0.26 | $8.70 |
| 06-16 20:49 | Will France win on 2026-06-16? | SELL | 0.99 | $22.16 |
| 06-16 13:15 | Will France win on 2026-06-16? | BUY | 0.6699999915 | $15.00 |
| 05-31 21:13 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C or higher on May 29? | SELL | 0.999 | $4.05 |
| 05-27 21:09 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C or higher on May 29? | BUY | 0.7399999457 | $3.00 |
| 05-18 20:30 | Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.361 | $2.53 |
| 05-17 15:48 | Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | BUY | 0.83 | $9.96 |
| 05-13 02:11 | Will Finland win Eurovision 2026? | BUY | 0.553999991 | $9.76 |
| 04-04 18:40 | Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-08? | BUY | 0.64 | $14.23 |
| 04-04 18:39 | Counter-Strike: G2 vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner | SELL | 0.999 | $14.55 |
| 04-04 16:37 | Counter-Strike: G2 vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner | BUY | 0.6799999946 | $9.81 |