dyg1414
0x1de4a26c5603c256c9237cbf29d3e22eda5d3951
- Realised P&L
- $-30.92
- Volume
- $2.9k
- Markets traded
- 160
- Open portfolio
- $9.60
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded160
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration31.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration21.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes | 0.740 | 0.765 | $2.07 | +$0.07 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 17? · Yes | 0.690 | 1.000 | $1.45 | +$0.45 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on September 17? · Yes | 0.890 | 1.000 | $1.12 | +$0.12 |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-19? · Yes | 0.570 | 0.575 | $1.01 | +$0.01 |
| Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-19? · Yes | 0.830 | 0.825 | $0.99 | −$0.01 |
| Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-20? · Yes | 0.760 | 0.755 | $0.99 | −$0.01 |
| Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-20? · Yes | 0.510 | 0.505 | $0.99 | −$0.01 |
| Atlanta Braves vs. Houston Astros · Atlanta Braves | 0.540 | 0.525 | $0.97 | −$0.03 |
| Spread: England (-1.5) · England | 0.142 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$9.86at 0.700Celtics vs. Mavericks
- +$9.53at 0.709Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Angels
- +$9.10at 0.850Spurs vs. Rockets
- +$8.38at 0.741Nuggets vs. Knicks
- +$6.38at 0.862Nets vs. Suns
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 05:46 | Atlanta Braves vs. Houston Astros | BUY | 0.5399999568 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 05:42 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on September 17? | BUY | 0.889999911 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 05:42 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 17? | BUY | 0.6899996964 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 05:41 | Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-20? | BUY | 0.5099998215 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 05:40 | Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-19? | BUY | 0.8299999087 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 04:24 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.7399999186 | $2.00 |
| 09-17 04:20 | Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-20? | BUY | 0.7599999088 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 04:19 | Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-19? | BUY | 0.5699999886 | $1.00 |
| 07-15 09:08 | Spread: England (-1.5) | BUY | 0.1424998953 | $1.00 |
| 04-08 04:08 | Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Angels | BUY | 0.9099999988 | $14.91 |
| 03-31 00:23 | Athletics vs. Atlanta Braves | BUY | 0.889999996 | $2.19 |
| 03-27 10:15 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 27? | BUY | 0.9339999819 | $2.06 |
| 03-27 10:11 | Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-08? | BUY | 0.6499999025 | $1.97 |
| 03-27 10:10 | Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-04? | BUY | 0.4587612431 | $1.97 |
| 03-27 10:09 | Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-04? | BUY | 0.599999976 | $4.93 |