0x1dd081be44cdd173cc8b128c50a3a9a57fb9a9b1
0x1dd081be44cdd173cc8b128c50a3a9a57fb9a9b1
- Realised P&L
- $5.48
- Volume
- $305.76
- Markets traded
- 76
- Open portfolio
- $10.14
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.8%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded76
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration37.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $76 Week of October 5 2026? · No | 0.240 | 0.910 | $3.79 | +$2.79 |
| US strike on Colombia by December 31? · No | 0.800 | 0.775 | $2.22 | −$0.07 |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 10, 2026? · No | 0.700 | 0.976 | $1.39 | +$0.39 |
| Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 11? · Yes | 0.430 | 0.555 | $1.29 | +$0.29 |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026? · No | 0.640 | 0.670 | $1.05 | +$0.05 |
| Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $66 Week of October 5 2026? · Yes | 0.300 | 0.060 | $0.20 | −$0.80 |
| Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $195 Week of October 5 2026? · Yes | 0.700 | 0.051 | $0.07 | −$0.93 |
| Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $74 Week of October 5 2026? · Yes | 0.440 | 0.029 | $0.07 | −$0.93 |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 12, 2026? · Yes | 0.410 | 0.023 | $0.06 | −$0.94 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.60at 0.237Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?
- +$7.18at 0.247Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $112.50 Week of September 7 2026?
- +$4.38at 0.349Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $710 Week of September 21 2026?
- +$4.19at 0.359S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 18?
- +$3.68at 0.389Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,300 Week of August 10 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-09 00:00 | Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $66 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.29999994 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 04:16 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 17:53 | Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $74 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.4399998592 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 09:43 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 7? | BUY | 0.4199998908 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 01:43 | Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 11? | BUY | 0.4299998882 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 17:43 | Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $76 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.2399999808 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 09:05 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 12, 2026? | BUY | 0.4099998975 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 01:04 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.69999972 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 15:12 | Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $195 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.7 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 00:32 | Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $185 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.4599997976 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 09:55 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 2? | BUY | 0.77 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 01:36 | Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $70 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.3499999825 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 11:58 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 1? | BUY | 0.219999978 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 11:58 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $63 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.2599999896 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 03:57 | Will Trump name an AI czar by October 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.6099998597 | $1.00 |