0x1daab0cc1c96edf0662a4313df0c2ef6ec561095
0x1daab0cc1c96edf0662a4313df0c2ef6ec561095
- Realised P&L
- $11.60
- Volume
- $200.65
- Markets traded
- 64
- Open portfolio
- $11.77
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar5.8%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded64
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration18.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US strike on Colombia by December 31? · No | 0.590 | 0.835 | $2.15 | +$0.63 |
| Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.05% in September? · No | 0.340 | 0.530 | $1.56 | +$0.56 |
| Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? · Yes | 0.260 | 0.400 | $1.54 | +$0.54 |
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $216 Week of September 28 2026? · No | 0.610 | 0.820 | $1.34 | +$0.34 |
| Will Ukraine target Moscow on September 29, 2026? · Yes | 0.280 | 0.235 | $1.28 | −$0.24 |
| Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $80 in September? · No | 0.740 | 0.795 | $1.07 | +$0.07 |
| Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $344 in September? · Yes | 0.550 | 0.530 | $0.96 | −$0.04 |
| Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.10% in September? · No | 0.730 | 0.525 | $0.72 | −$0.28 |
| Trump renames AI by September 30? · No | 0.730 | 0.505 | $0.69 | −$0.31 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in September? · Yes | 0.450 | 0.205 | $0.46 | −$0.54 |
| Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,150 Week of September 28 2026? · No | 0.710 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.04at 0.237Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?
- +$4.51at 0.258S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $775 on August 17?
- +$2.78at 0.359Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $344 Week of September 21 2026?
- +$2.77at 0.360Will Costco say "GLP-1" or "GLP 1" during earnings call?
- +$2.67at 0.278Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $65 Week of September 21 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 07:04 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $216 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.6099998597 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 22:46 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,150 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.7099998509 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 14:45 | Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.10% in September? | BUY | 0.7299998102 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 05:35 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in September? | BUY | 0.4499998425 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 21:30 | Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $344 in September? | BUY | 0.549999945 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 07:31 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? | BUY | 0.2599999896 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 21:54 | Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $80 in September? | BUY | 0.7399996448 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 13:52 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on September 25? | BUY | 0.2 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 05:05 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 25? | BUY | 0.5 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 03:49 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $65 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.2699999784 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 19:21 | Trump renames AI by September 30? | BUY | 0.7299998102 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 11:16 | Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.05% in September? | BUY | 0.3399999388 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 03:14 | Will Trump say "Garden" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival? | BUY | 0.7099998879 | $1.52 |
| 09-23 19:08 | Will Costco say "GLP-1" or "GLP 1" during earnings call? | BUY | 0.3514224982 | $1.52 |
| 09-23 10:50 | Will Ukraine target Moscow on September 29, 2026? | BUY | 0.2799999705 | $1.52 |