Lindewhut
0x1d85a52564bcd5f5fdc0e1ad70a270d74c6187b2
- Realised P&L
- $-110.77
- Volume
- $6.7k
- Markets traded
- 27
- Open portfolio
- $27.78
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded27
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration42.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample9 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration34.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$50.59at 0.165Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?
- +$40.61at 0.330Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?
- +$20.82at 0.490Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of June 2026?
- +$7.80at 0.017Anthropic acquired before 2027?
- +$-2.00at 0.009Will claude-opus-4-7-thinking have the best AI model on May 30, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-19 10:21 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.4074999898 | $17.00 |
| 07-19 10:14 | Anthropic acquired before 2027? | SELL | 0.0307317764 | $17.80 |
| 07-09 19:44 | Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30? | BUY | 0.1 | $8.85 |
| 07-08 17:09 | Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09? | BUY | 0.1399999888 | $10.00 |
| 07-08 17:09 | Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10? | BUY | 0.1699999871 | $10.00 |
| 07-08 17:09 | Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? | BUY | 0.2299999869 | $10.00 |
| 07-08 17:08 | Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-11? | BUY | 0.1699999871 | $10.00 |
| 07-08 11:40 | Next Mythos-Class Model released by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0891088948 | $5.00 |
| 07-08 11:37 | Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 8, 2026? | SELL | 0.0100826 | $0.50 |
| 07-04 21:44 | Will OpenAI acquire Pinterest in 2026? | BUY | 0.0390000004 | $5.00 |
| 07-04 21:41 | Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on or before July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0490376364 | $5.00 |
| 07-04 21:39 | Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026? | BUY | 0.04315417 | $5.00 |
| 07-03 13:14 | Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 8, 2026? | BUY | 0.1 | $5.00 |
| 07-01 16:21 | Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? | BUY | 0.1099999913 | $10.00 |
| 07-01 16:16 | Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.0065767407 | $1.00 |