PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

chrnxhi

0x1d6863b2387e51f4f4904dad7ea249ba8f9d0ce4

Realised P&L
$39.73
Volume
$1.1k
Markets traded
27
Open portfolio
$45.73

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar3.8%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded27
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration34.5% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample13 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)84.6%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration23.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.6190.445$10.79$4.21
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? · No0.9190.972$10.58+$0.58
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? · Yes0.7400.964$7.81+$1.81
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes0.7900.954$6.03+$1.03
Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia? · Yes0.9710.972$5.01+$0.01
Will global art market sales hit $65 billion for 2026? · No0.8900.620$3.48$1.52
Human moon landing in 2026? · No0.9690.986$2.03+$0.03
Ethereum Up or Down - April 15, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET · Down0.4240.000$0.00$5.20
Ethereum Up or Down - April 16, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET · Up0.3420.000$0.00$2.01
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026? · Yes0.8900.000$0.00$5.00
Ethereum Up or Down - April 16, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET · Up0.5110.000$0.00$5.23
Ethereum Up or Down - April 16, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET · Up0.3670.000$0.00$5.07
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET · Up0.7320.000$0.00$30.00
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance · Argentina0.4100.000$0.00$5.00
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET · Up0.1880.000$0.00$1.47

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-08 12:46Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.549999945$5.00
08-03 13:46Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.6599999842$10.00
07-19 12:54Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceBUY0.4099999836$5.00
07-19 12:54Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?BUY0.9709999981$5.00
07-09 08:04Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?BUY0.8899999947$10.00
07-09 08:02Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?BUY0.8799999859$5.00
07-09 08:02Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?BUY0.7899999242$5.00
06-23 03:48Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?BUY0.8299999967$10.00
06-23 03:47Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?BUY0.9299999154$10.00
06-23 03:47Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?BUY0.9919999159$10.00
06-23 03:47Will global art market sales hit $65 billion for 2026?BUY0.8899999858$5.00
06-07 12:19Human moon landing in 2026?BUY0.9689997296$2.00
06-07 12:19Will President Trump attend the NBA Finals?BUY0.9669999996$5.00
06-07 12:18Will Neymar play in the World Cup?BUY0.8999999892$50.00
05-07 05:50Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?BUY0.74$1.00