PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

SamuelOlteanu

0x1d50419b273abd82f3c979b7b666f09f7fd72563

Realised P&L
$-400.38
Volume
$100.8k
Markets traded
54
Open portfolio
$245.55

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded54
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration66.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample23 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)47.8%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration31.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 22:53Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be an Independent or a Technocrat?BUY0.4912141481$86.66
08-02 22:50Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?SELL0.160150027$91.80
07-31 22:21Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?BUY0.1589999635$3.46
07-31 22:19Will Alexandru Rogobete be the next Prime Minister of Romania?SELL0.0032050319$3.63
07-28 20:58Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?BUY0.1310000014$13.26
07-28 20:57Will George Simion be the next Prime Minister of Romania?SELL0.0110124475$14.14
07-28 20:54Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?BUY0.1308930738$33.31
07-28 18:36Iran leadership change by August 31?BUY0.0409014987$10.00
07-28 18:31Iran full airspace closure by August 31?SELL0.31$44.53
07-27 17:24Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?BUY0.1299999961$25.45
07-22 08:38Will Cătălin Predoiu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?BUY0.0386336473$4.00
07-20 16:52Will Eugen Tomac be the next Prime Minister of Romania?BUY0.0597014925$4.00
07-20 16:49Will Eugen Tomac be the next Prime Minister of Romania?BUY0.0386100386$10.00
07-16 21:49Will Cătălin Predoiu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?BUY0.0193493772$4.00
07-16 21:47Romanian parliament dissolved by July 31?SELL0.01553559$14.29