PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

Idan23s

0x1d48c9c3102cc4d5c6a83f933da94e98a5a54b31

Realised P&L
$-104.68
Volume
$7.1k
Markets traded
25
Open portfolio
$11.94

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded25
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration36.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample7 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)71.4%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration97.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-23 20:14Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?BUY0.0599999999$10.00
10-23 16:34Will Avigdor Lieberman receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?BUY0.0138624818$4.00
10-23 16:33Will Naftali Bennett receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?BUY0.0790415082$20.00
09-17 16:42Israel closes its airspace by September 30?BUY0.018$10.00
09-08 18:12Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?BUY0.004$1.00
09-08 18:12Israel closes its airspace by September 30?BUY0.0409999999$20.00
07-23 21:17US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?BUY0.5199999813$10.00
07-23 21:17US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?BUY0.3399999633$5.00
07-23 21:17US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?BUY0.16$5.00
07-23 21:15Israel closes its airspace by August 31?BUY0.4899999939$20.00
07-23 21:13Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.2999999925$20.00
05-26 18:00Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?BUY0.4380912178$30.00
05-26 17:56Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?BUY0.1781839439$25.00
05-20 08:21Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:20AM-4:25AM ETBUY0.2299999692$5.00
05-19 19:11Will the price of Solana be between $50 and $60 on May 20?BUY0.001$1.00