Idan23s
0x1d48c9c3102cc4d5c6a83f933da94e98a5a54b31
- Realised P&L
- $-104.68
- Volume
- $7.1k
- Markets traded
- 25
- Open portfolio
- $11.94
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded25
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration36.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample7 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)71.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration97.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$37.80at 0.448Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
- +$26.25at 0.160US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?
- +$20.82at 0.490Israel closes its airspace by August 31?
- +$9.71at 0.340US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?
- +$9.23at 0.520US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-23 20:14 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24? | BUY | 0.0599999999 | $10.00 |
| 10-23 16:34 | Will Avigdor Lieberman receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election? | BUY | 0.0138624818 | $4.00 |
| 10-23 16:33 | Will Naftali Bennett receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election? | BUY | 0.0790415082 | $20.00 |
| 09-17 16:42 | Israel closes its airspace by September 30? | BUY | 0.018 | $10.00 |
| 09-08 18:12 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15? | BUY | 0.004 | $1.00 |
| 09-08 18:12 | Israel closes its airspace by September 30? | BUY | 0.0409999999 | $20.00 |
| 07-23 21:17 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31? | BUY | 0.5199999813 | $10.00 |
| 07-23 21:17 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? | BUY | 0.3399999633 | $5.00 |
| 07-23 21:17 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | BUY | 0.16 | $5.00 |
| 07-23 21:15 | Israel closes its airspace by August 31? | BUY | 0.4899999939 | $20.00 |
| 07-23 21:13 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.2999999925 | $20.00 |
| 05-26 18:00 | Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.4380912178 | $30.00 |
| 05-26 17:56 | Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31? | BUY | 0.1781839439 | $25.00 |
| 05-20 08:21 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET | BUY | 0.2299999692 | $5.00 |
| 05-19 19:11 | Will the price of Solana be between $50 and $60 on May 20? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |