52fsghd
0x1d41d3dc0f828c93501b35e627315912fcab44d5
- Realised P&L
- $-153.50
- Volume
- $15.2k
- Markets traded
- 84
- Open portfolio
- $162.53
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded84
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration57.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? · No | 0.996 | 0.996 | $92.95 | −$0.05 |
| Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31, 2026? · No | 0.990 | 0.984 | $69.58 | −$0.42 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$18.00at 0.910Will Union win the most seats in the next German election?
- +$13.47at 0.995Ethereum all time high by March 31, 2026?
- +$11.66at 0.660Israel x Hamas ceasefire in 2024?
- +$10.10at 0.970Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?
- +$7.50at 0.850German Bundestag dissolved in 2024?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-02 07:14 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.996 | $93.00 |
| 10-02 07:13 | Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9899999959 | $70.00 |
| 09-09 06:36 | Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.9929999999 | $88.00 |
| 09-09 06:35 | Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.9949999971 | $70.00 |
| 08-11 06:10 | Putin out as President of Russia by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.992 | $85.00 |
| 08-11 06:09 | Will Ethereum dip to $900 in August? | BUY | 0.998 | $72.00 |
| 07-15 06:19 | US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by July 31? | BUY | 0.9929999932 | $71.00 |
| 07-15 06:18 | Trump meets with Mojtaba Khamenei by July 31? | BUY | 0.995 | $90.00 |
| 06-19 11:57 | Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $200.00 |
| 06-19 11:56 | Ethereum all time high by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.997999992 | $125.00 |
| 06-07 16:31 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.997 | $300.00 |
| 06-03 05:28 | Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.985 | $150.00 |
| 06-03 05:28 | Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $200.00 |
| 06-03 05:27 | Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.997 | $238.00 |
| 06-03 05:25 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.96 | $96.00 |