0x1d3caf1e695e2f043aabbc7cf86ed866e0c34c05
- Realised P&L
- not known
- Volume
- not known
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $4.43
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- Not knownEdge per dollar—
- No leaderboard entry for this wallet in the requested window.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration22.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? · Yes | 0.280 | 0.275 | $0.98 | −$0.02 |
| Will Elche CF vs. Real Betis Balompié end in a draw? · Yes | 0.260 | 0.255 | $0.98 | −$0.02 |
| Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. RC Deportivo A Coruña end in a draw? · Yes | 0.290 | 0.280 | $0.97 | −$0.03 |
| Will Valencia CF win on 2026-11-07? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.110 | $0.92 | −$0.08 |
| Will Trump say "God" this week? · Yes | 0.980 | 0.575 | $0.59 | −$0.41 |
| Will Athletic Club vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol end in a draw? · Yes | 0.290 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.19at 0.462Will Athletic Club win on 2026-11-01?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 20:56 | Will Trump say "God" this week? | BUY | 0.98 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 20:51 | Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. RC Deportivo A Coruña end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2899999884 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 20:50 | Will Athletic Club vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2899999884 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 20:48 | Will Valencia CF win on 2026-11-07? | BUY | 0.1199999904 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 20:48 | Will Elche CF vs. Real Betis Balompié end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2599999896 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 20:48 | Will Athletic Club win on 2026-11-01? | BUY | 0.4499998425 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 20:47 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? | BUY | 0.2799999664 | $1.00 |