PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x1d35ebf2c253E5b3180ff508Dfa27912cC876db2-1767723258871

0x1d35ebf2c253e5b3180ff508dfa27912cc876db2

Realised P&L
$-194.86
Volume
$11.3k
Markets traded
32
Open portfolio
$41.08

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded32
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration86.2% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample19 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)15.8%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration84.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.4000.290$34.80$13.20
Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0800.029$3.56$6.44
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 3.0% and 4.0%? · Yes0.0240.011$1.93$2.07
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31? · Yes0.1510.024$0.79$4.21
Will Neymar play in the World Cup? · No0.0700.000$0.00$2.00
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Russia? · Yes0.0350.000$0.00$5.00
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31? · Yes0.1400.000$0.00$1.00
Will Trump visit China by June 30? · No0.2200.000$0.00$5.00
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30? · Yes0.0210.000$0.00$2.00
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30? · Yes0.0550.000$0.00$3.00
US forces enter Iran by April 30? · No0.0040.000$0.00$10.81
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30? · Yes0.2430.000$0.00$6.00
Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026? · Yes0.0210.000$0.00$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-12 11:01Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?BUY0.4$48.00
06-12 10:57Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31?BUY0.151371807$5.00
06-12 10:56Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?SELL0.17$28.33
06-11 18:15Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?BUY0.2435818209$6.00
06-11 17:57Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.1799999958$30.00
06-11 17:50Will Trump and Putin meet next in a Gulf country?SELL0.001$0.60
05-20 06:05Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026?BUY0.08$10.00
05-20 06:05Will Trump and Putin meet next in a Gulf country?BUY0.005$3.00
05-20 06:04Will Trump and Putin meet next in Russia?BUY0.0346687745$5.00
05-20 06:00Will Neymar play in the World Cup?BUY0.0699999688$2.00
05-20 05:57Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?BUY0.0549999832$3.00
05-20 05:55Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?BUY0.0210000003$2.00
05-20 05:54Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 3.0% and 4.0%?BUY0.0238663484$4.00
05-20 05:51Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?SELL0.51$91.51
05-20 05:41Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?BUY0.5199999993$93.31