0x1d35ebf2c253E5b3180ff508Dfa27912cC876db2-1767723258871
0x1d35ebf2c253e5b3180ff508dfa27912cc876db2
- Realised P&L
- $-194.86
- Volume
- $11.3k
- Markets traded
- 32
- Open portfolio
- $41.08
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded32
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration86.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample19 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)15.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration84.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$17.03at 0.130Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
- +$2.73at 0.220GTA 6 launch postponed again?
- +$0.00at 0.360Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
- +$-0.64at 0.014Will Sporting win the 2025–26 Champions League?
- +$-1.25at 0.080Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-12 11:01 | Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.4 | $48.00 |
| 06-12 10:57 | Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31? | BUY | 0.151371807 | $5.00 |
| 06-12 10:56 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | SELL | 0.17 | $28.33 |
| 06-11 18:15 | Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30? | BUY | 0.2435818209 | $6.00 |
| 06-11 17:57 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.1799999958 | $30.00 |
| 06-11 17:50 | Will Trump and Putin meet next in a Gulf country? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.60 |
| 05-20 06:05 | Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.08 | $10.00 |
| 05-20 06:05 | Will Trump and Putin meet next in a Gulf country? | BUY | 0.005 | $3.00 |
| 05-20 06:04 | Will Trump and Putin meet next in Russia? | BUY | 0.0346687745 | $5.00 |
| 05-20 06:00 | Will Neymar play in the World Cup? | BUY | 0.0699999688 | $2.00 |
| 05-20 05:57 | Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30? | BUY | 0.0549999832 | $3.00 |
| 05-20 05:55 | Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30? | BUY | 0.0210000003 | $2.00 |
| 05-20 05:54 | Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 3.0% and 4.0%? | BUY | 0.0238663484 | $4.00 |
| 05-20 05:51 | Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? | SELL | 0.51 | $91.51 |
| 05-20 05:41 | Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.5199999993 | $93.31 |