0xEmoni
0x1d358d499b7b2ea8998f9461069fe499d4b8f929
- Realised P&L
- $-1.6k
- Volume
- $206.5k
- Markets traded
- 1,000
- Open portfolio
- $502.98
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded1,000
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration84.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration30.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Linera launch a token by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.879 | 0.955 | $150.89 | +$11.96 |
| Will Jumper launch a token by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.862 | 0.805 | $119.29 | −$8.51 |
| Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch? · No | 0.581 | 0.820 | $61.97 | +$18.04 |
| Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.870 | 0.990 | $59.40 | +$7.20 |
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? · No | 0.925 | 0.973 | $52.57 | +$2.57 |
| Will Reya launch a token by December 31, 2027? · Yes | 0.819 | 0.760 | $36.19 | −$2.81 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes | 0.910 | 0.945 | $11.42 | +$0.42 |
| Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch? · No | 0.870 | 0.865 | $10.94 | −$0.06 |
| Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.097 | 0.030 | $0.31 | −$0.69 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$114.84at 0.365Ink FDV above $100M one day after launch?
- +$102.59at 0.372MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
- +$78.65at 0.126Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$62.25at 0.018Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$54.52at 0.755Over $30M committed to the Gensyn public sale?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 23:42 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET | BUY | 0.88 | $4.00 |
| 11-01 23:36 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET | BUY | 0.8299999613 | $3.00 |
| 10-31 21:46 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET | BUY | 0.8299999613 | $3.00 |
| 10-31 21:42 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET | BUY | 0.849999915 | $1.00 |
| 10-31 21:41 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET | BUY | 0.8299999087 | $1.00 |
| 10-31 21:41 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET | BUY | 0.84 | $1.00 |
| 10-30 22:38 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET | BUY | 0.8 | $1.00 |
| 10-30 22:38 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET | BUY | 0.8299999087 | $1.00 |
| 10-28 16:11 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.265 | $1.10 |
| 10-27 20:06 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET | BUY | 0.75 | $1.00 |
| 10-27 20:03 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.4799999616 | $2.00 |
| 10-23 21:57 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET | BUY | 0.95 | $1.00 |
| 10-23 21:57 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET | BUY | 0.9299999907 | $1.00 |
| 10-19 22:10 | Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0969999939 | $1.00 |
| 10-16 20:43 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | SELL | 0.75 | $4.63 |