VickiWilliams3667
0x1d23625c854e7bd28942ab40ba3b2a5f133baa07
- Realised P&L
- $-244.60
- Volume
- $189.6k
- Markets traded
- 198
- Open portfolio
- $507.71
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded198
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration71.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026 · No | 0.780 | 0.795 | $364.90 | +$6.88 |
| Will Felix Protocol launch a token by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.800 | 0.175 | $137.77 | −$490.23 |
| Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by June 30? · No | 0.750 | 1.000 | $2.70 | +$0.68 |
| Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.150 | 0.254 | $2.29 | +$0.94 |
| Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before 2027? · Yes | 0.190 | 0.055 | $0.06 | −$0.14 |
| Will Yu Deng win the 2026 Fields Medal? · No | 0.580 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.74 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$474.00at 0.104Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 60% and 65%?
- +$420.88at 0.501Will Dominican Republic advance to the Knockout Stages of the 2026 World Baseball Classic final?
- +$296.60at 0.214Another S&P 500 Company buys Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?
- +$231.44at 0.270Will the total number of TSA passengers for March 30 be between 2,400,000 and 2,600,000?
- +$229.49at 0.470Bitcoin ETF Flows on February 11?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-27 09:43 | Will Syria join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | SELL | 0.79 | $427.39 |
| 04-27 09:42 | Will Syria join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | SELL | 0.79 | $13.43 |
| 04-27 08:03 | Will Axiom launch a token by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.85 | $514.25 |
| 04-27 07:59 | Will Axiom launch a token by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.85 | $223.55 |
| 04-27 07:57 | Will Axiom launch a token by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.85 | $288.15 |
| 04-27 07:56 | Will Axiom launch a token by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.85 | $77.35 |
| 04-24 04:55 | Will Syria join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | BUY | 0.78 | $435.24 |
| 04-21 08:54 | Will Drake officially release Iceman by April 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.78 | $154.44 |
| 04-14 01:29 | Will Drake officially release Iceman by April 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.78 | $154.44 |
| 04-12 21:39 | Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30? | SELL | 0.6723132743 | $75.97 |
| 04-10 22:35 | Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026 | BUY | 0.78 | $358.02 |
| 04-10 21:58 | Will Axiom launch a token by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.81 | $1.1k |
| 04-10 00:01 | Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? | SELL | 0.55 | $15.40 |
| 04-09 09:49 | SEC removes quarterly reporting requirement? | SELL | 0.61 | $229.36 |
| 04-09 09:46 | SEC removes quarterly reporting requirement? | SELL | 0.61 | $540.46 |