ThisIsNotReallyME
0x1d09245e92b2598f952b7b39c1bc7e2984d03cc3
- Realised P&L
- $7.38
- Volume
- $2.5k
- Markets traded
- 61
- Open portfolio
- $323.23
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded61
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample42 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)61.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration21.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$36.06at 0.660Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?
- +$19.22at 0.510Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?
- +$16.82at 0.413Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?
- +$10.77at 0.582Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$10.33at 0.795Will Netherlands win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-05 05:00 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? | BUY | 0.8099999854 | $10.00 |
| 07-30 12:30 | Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.7099999702 | $5.00 |
| 07-30 12:30 | Will "The Idaho Murders: College Nightmare" be the top US Netflix show this week? | BUY | 0.85 | $2.00 |
| 07-25 06:12 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31? | SELL | 0.34 | $9.71 |
| 07-22 10:48 | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 22? | BUY | 0.16 | $1.00 |
| 07-22 03:56 | Will Ryan Elijah be the FL-07 Republican nominee? | BUY | 0.8199999836 | $5.00 |
| 07-22 03:50 | Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? | BUY | 0.6969999932 | $10.00 |
| 07-22 03:49 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31? | BUY | 0.3499999842 | $10.00 |
| 07-21 08:45 | Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | BUY | 0.7619999393 | $10.00 |
| 07-21 08:44 | Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | BUY | 0.8799999296 | $10.00 |
| 07-21 08:43 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.6099999994 | $10.00 |
| 07-17 11:59 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | BUY | 0.8499999717 | $3.00 |
| 07-16 13:32 | Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw? | BUY | 0.32 | $3.00 |
| 07-15 03:58 | Israeli parliament dissolved by July 17? | BUY | 0.975 | $6.00 |
| 07-15 03:56 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.5819999874 | $15.00 |