0x1ceaebf1d6ada39159780981aefbfdbe5a5c98ee
- Realised P&L
- $-164.18
- Volume
- $105.1k
- Markets traded
- 674
- Open portfolio
- $404.75
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded674
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration33.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration96.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Barcelona leading at halftime? · Yes | 0.650 | 0.635 | $389.65 | −$9.34 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on September 11? · No | 0.120 | 1.000 | $8.33 | +$7.33 |
| Will Scream 7 be the top grossing movie of 2026? · Yes | 0.004 | 0.001 | $1.38 | −$9.63 |
| Will Wuthering Heights be the top grossing movie of 2026? · Yes | 0.004 | 0.001 | $1.25 | −$8.75 |
| Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2026? · Yes | 0.004 | 0.001 | $1.22 | −$8.51 |
| Will Project Hail Mary be the top grossing movie of 2026? · Yes | 0.004 | 0.001 | $1.19 | −$8.21 |
| Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes | 0.004 | 0.005 | $1.09 | +$0.30 |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.266 | 0.221 | $0.66 | −$0.13 |
| Will the Green Party (MP) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? · Yes | 0.004 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.05 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$473.73at 0.678Will Solana reach $100 in April?
- +$114.83at 0.744Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 on April 5?
- +$110.25at 0.587Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?
- +$104.42at 0.727Will Solana dip to $60 in April?
- +$90.00at 0.779Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-06?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 19:46 | FC Barcelona leading at halftime? | BUY | 0.65 | $3.87 |
| 09-17 19:45 | FC Barcelona leading at halftime? | BUY | 0.6522327496 | $331.12 |
| 09-17 19:34 | FC Barcelona leading at halftime? | BUY | 0.64 | $64.00 |
| 09-02 08:22 | Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-06? | BUY | 0.77 | $313.37 |
| 06-28 10:00 | Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29? | BUY | 0.58 | $154.95 |
| 06-28 09:24 | Germany vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.47 | $49.82 |
| 06-27 09:36 | Will Argentina win on 2026-06-27? | BUY | 0.86 | $109.67 |
| 06-27 09:34 | Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-27? | BUY | 0.62 | $49.60 |
| 06-21 02:33 | Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24? | BUY | 0.71 | $113.60 |
| 05-28 20:17 | Will Moshe Feiglin be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.004 | $7.22 |
| 05-28 04:24 | Will Solana dip to $80 on May 28? | BUY | 0.01 | $1.00 |
| 05-21 11:54 | Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.186 | $0.49 |
| 05-21 11:52 | Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.186 | $8.90 |
| 05-21 11:51 | Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.187 | $10.00 |
| 05-18 18:58 | Will Park Yong-jin win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election | SELL | 0.001 | $0.24 |