0x1ceaebf1d6ada39159780981aefbfdbe5a5c98ee
- Realised P&L
- not known
- Volume
- not known
- Markets traded
- 691
- Open portfolio
- $12.91
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- Not knownEdge per dollar—
- No leaderboard entry for this wallet in the requested window.
- ClearMarkets traded691
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration34.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration54.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET · Up | 0.739 | 1.000 | $7.04 | +$1.84 |
| Will Scream 7 be the top grossing movie of 2026? · Yes | 0.004 | 0.001 | $1.38 | −$9.63 |
| Will Wuthering Heights be the top grossing movie of 2026? · Yes | 0.004 | 0.001 | $1.25 | −$8.75 |
| Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2026? · Yes | 0.004 | 0.001 | $1.22 | −$8.51 |
| Will Project Hail Mary be the top grossing movie of 2026? · Yes | 0.004 | 0.001 | $1.19 | −$8.21 |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.266 | 0.184 | $0.55 | −$0.24 |
| Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes | 0.004 | 0.002 | $0.30 | −$0.49 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 on October 16? · No | 0.130 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.17 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on October 15? · No | 0.080 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.68 |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,450 on October 15? · No | 0.438 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$13.21 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$171.69at 0.010Will Bitcoin reach $73,000 on April 11?
- +$110.25at 0.587Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?
- +$90.00at 0.779Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-06?
- +$45.41at 0.716Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24?
- +$39.63at 0.386Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Casper Ruud
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-16 15:05 | Will Bitcoin dip to $81,000 on October 16? | BUY | 0.47 | $4.89 |
| 10-16 11:13 | Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on October 16? | BUY | 0.35 | $4.60 |
| 10-15 14:49 | Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on October 15? | SELL | 0.08 | $0.60 |
| 10-12 23:00 | Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 on October 12? | SELL | 0.23 | $3.68 |
| 09-28 17:12 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 on September 28? | SELL | 0.77 | $7.70 |
| 09-28 17:12 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 on September 28? | BUY | 0.75 | $4.87 |
| 09-25 17:39 | Will Bitcoin dip to $83,000 on September 25? | SELL | 0.76 | $4.31 |
| 09-17 19:46 | FC Barcelona leading at halftime? | BUY | 0.65 | $3.87 |
| 09-17 19:45 | FC Barcelona leading at halftime? | BUY | 0.6522327496 | $331.12 |
| 09-17 19:34 | FC Barcelona leading at halftime? | BUY | 0.64 | $64.00 |
| 09-02 08:22 | Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-06? | BUY | 0.77 | $313.37 |
| 06-28 10:00 | Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29? | BUY | 0.58 | $154.95 |
| 06-28 09:24 | Germany vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.47 | $49.82 |
| 06-27 09:36 | Will Argentina win on 2026-06-27? | BUY | 0.86 | $109.67 |
| 06-27 09:34 | Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-27? | BUY | 0.62 | $49.60 |