PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x1ceaebf1d6ada39159780981aefbfdbe5a5c98ee

Realised P&L
not known
Volume
not known
Markets traded
691
Open portfolio
$12.91

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

Not knownEdge per dollar—
No leaderboard entry for this wallet in the requested window.
ClearMarkets traded691
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration34.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration54.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET · Up0.7391.000$7.04+$1.84
Will Scream 7 be the top grossing movie of 2026? · Yes0.0040.001$1.38−$9.63
Will Wuthering Heights be the top grossing movie of 2026? · Yes0.0040.001$1.25−$8.75
Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2026? · Yes0.0040.001$1.22−$8.51
Will Project Hail Mary be the top grossing movie of 2026? · Yes0.0040.001$1.19−$8.21
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.2660.184$0.55−$0.24
Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.0040.002$0.30−$0.49
Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 on October 16? · No0.1300.000$0.00−$1.17
Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on October 15? · No0.0800.000$0.00−$0.68
Will Ethereum reach $2,450 on October 15? · No0.4380.000$0.00−$13.21

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-16 15:05Will Bitcoin dip to $81,000 on October 16?BUY0.47$4.89
10-16 11:13Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on October 16?BUY0.35$4.60
10-15 14:49Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on October 15?SELL0.08$0.60
10-12 23:00Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 on October 12?SELL0.23$3.68
09-28 17:12Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 on September 28?SELL0.77$7.70
09-28 17:12Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 on September 28?BUY0.75$4.87
09-25 17:39Will Bitcoin dip to $83,000 on September 25?SELL0.76$4.31
09-17 19:46FC Barcelona leading at halftime?BUY0.65$3.87
09-17 19:45FC Barcelona leading at halftime?BUY0.6522327496$331.12
09-17 19:34FC Barcelona leading at halftime?BUY0.64$64.00
09-02 08:22Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-06?BUY0.77$313.37
06-28 10:00Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?BUY0.58$154.95
06-28 09:24Germany vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to ScoreBUY0.47$49.82
06-27 09:36Will Argentina win on 2026-06-27?BUY0.86$109.67
06-27 09:34Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-27?BUY0.62$49.60