PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x1ceaebf1d6ada39159780981aefbfdbe5a5c98ee

Realised P&L
$-245.25
Volume
$104.1k
Markets traded
671
Open portfolio
$17.29

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded671
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration47.3% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration23.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Scream 7 be the top grossing movie of 2026? · Yes0.0040.002$4.13$6.88
Will Wuthering Heights be the top grossing movie of 2026? · Yes0.0040.002$3.75$6.25
Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2026? · Yes0.0040.002$3.65$6.08
Will Project Hail Mary be the top grossing movie of 2026? · Yes0.0040.002$3.56$5.84
Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.0040.008$1.58+$0.79
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.1870.207$0.62+$0.06
Will the Green Party (MP) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? · Yes0.0040.002$0.02$0.03
Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00$2.84

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-28 10:00Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?BUY0.58$154.95
06-28 09:24Germany vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to ScoreBUY0.47$49.82
06-27 09:36Will Argentina win on 2026-06-27?BUY0.86$109.67
06-27 09:34Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-27?BUY0.62$49.60
06-21 02:33Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24?BUY0.71$113.60
05-28 20:17Will Moshe Feiglin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?SELL0.004$7.22
05-28 04:24Will Solana dip to $80 on May 28?BUY0.01$1.00
05-21 11:54Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.186$0.49
05-21 11:52Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.186$8.90
05-21 11:51Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.187$10.00
05-18 18:58Will Park Yong-jin win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionSELL0.001$0.24
05-17 23:09Will the Green Party (MP) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?SELL0.002$0.23
05-13 19:16Will Solana reach $100 on May 13?SELL0.999$1.01
05-08 23:00Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6PM ETBUY0.01$11.00
05-08 16:13Will Ethereum reach $2,500 May 4-10?BUY0.972$10.99