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Traders

0x1ceaebf1d6ada39159780981aefbfdbe5a5c98ee

Realised P&L
$-164.18
Volume
$105.1k
Markets traded
674
Open portfolio
$404.75

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded674
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration33.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration96.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
FC Barcelona leading at halftime? · Yes0.6500.635$389.65$9.34
Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on September 11? · No0.1201.000$8.33+$7.33
Will Scream 7 be the top grossing movie of 2026? · Yes0.0040.001$1.38$9.63
Will Wuthering Heights be the top grossing movie of 2026? · Yes0.0040.001$1.25$8.75
Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2026? · Yes0.0040.001$1.22$8.51
Will Project Hail Mary be the top grossing movie of 2026? · Yes0.0040.001$1.19$8.21
Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.0040.005$1.09+$0.30
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.2660.221$0.66$0.13
Will the Green Party (MP) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? · Yes0.0040.000$0.00$0.05

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 19:46FC Barcelona leading at halftime?BUY0.65$3.87
09-17 19:45FC Barcelona leading at halftime?BUY0.6522327496$331.12
09-17 19:34FC Barcelona leading at halftime?BUY0.64$64.00
09-02 08:22Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-06?BUY0.77$313.37
06-28 10:00Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?BUY0.58$154.95
06-28 09:24Germany vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to ScoreBUY0.47$49.82
06-27 09:36Will Argentina win on 2026-06-27?BUY0.86$109.67
06-27 09:34Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-27?BUY0.62$49.60
06-21 02:33Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24?BUY0.71$113.60
05-28 20:17Will Moshe Feiglin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?SELL0.004$7.22
05-28 04:24Will Solana dip to $80 on May 28?BUY0.01$1.00
05-21 11:54Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.186$0.49
05-21 11:52Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.186$8.90
05-21 11:51Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.187$10.00
05-18 18:58Will Park Yong-jin win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionSELL0.001$0.24
Trader 0x1cea…98ee · PolyBot Pro