0x1Cc365Df15d71017d19Cf8fe5A3B4659D9CCCeF6-1766940186098
0x1cc365df15d71017d19cf8fe5a3b4659d9cccef6
- Realised P&L
- $1.3k
- Volume
- $29.1k
- Markets traded
- 66
- Open portfolio
- $1.9k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar4.6%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded66
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample39 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration34.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$807.95at 0.447Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?
- +$478.31at 0.437Claude 4.7 released by May 31?
- +$464.73at 0.567Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
- +$403.15at 0.559Will Google have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?
- +$327.89at 0.806Will Anthropic have the second-best AI model at the end of March 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 02:06 | Meituan announces a training pause by October 31? | BUY | 0.96 | $26.49 |
| 09-16 02:06 | ByteDance announces a training pause by October 31? | BUY | 0.95 | $19.00 |
| 09-16 02:05 | Baidu announces a training pause by October 31? | BUY | 0.91 | $36.40 |
| 09-09 16:31 | Will Meta have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.0117305819 | $5.00 |
| 08-05 19:56 | Will Meta have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.0164161104 | $10.00 |
| 06-17 21:13 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.7 | $350.00 |
| 06-01 19:23 | Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31 2027? | BUY | 0.98 | $294.00 |
| 06-01 19:23 | Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31 2027? | BUY | 0.96 | $444.96 |
| 05-31 01:30 | Will Perplexity not IPO by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.4 | $80.00 |
| 05-31 01:20 | Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027? | BUY | 0.75 | $262.50 |
| 05-29 17:35 | Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking have the best AI model on May 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.146472 | $7.32 |
| 05-28 19:20 | Will claude-opus-4-6 have the best AI model on May 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.0114956667 | $3.45 |
| 05-28 19:18 | Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking have the best AI model on May 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.3062690466 | $35.18 |
| 05-28 19:16 | Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking have the best AI model on May 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.2716010097 | $35.51 |
| 05-25 22:06 | Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (LOW) $850B by June 30? | BUY | 0.94 | $282.00 |