PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x1Cc365Df15d71017d19Cf8fe5A3B4659D9CCCeF6-1766940186098

0x1cc365df15d71017d19cf8fe5a3b4659d9cccef6

Realised P&L
$1.2k
Volume
$27.8k
Markets traded
62
Open portfolio
$1.7k

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar4.4%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded62
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration23.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample39 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)64.1%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration41.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31 2027? · No0.9680.910$695.17$43.79
Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027? · No0.7500.805$281.75+$19.25
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yes0.7000.545$272.50$77.50
Will Zoom Video Communications be acquired before 2027? · No0.8200.900$225.13+$20.13
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yes0.2800.180$108.00$60.00
Will Perplexity not IPO by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.4000.525$105.00+$25.00
Will Perplexity’s market cap be greater than $100B at market close on IPO day? · No0.9420.949$5.75+$0.04
Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026? · Yes0.7450.000$0.00$372.56
Will Google have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026? · Yes0.5200.000$0.00$103.99
Will OpenAI have the best Coding AI model at the end of April 2026? · Yes0.0710.000$0.00$14.55
Will Google have the second-best Math AI model at the end of April 2026? · Yes0.1900.000$0.00$19.00
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026? · Yes0.0710.000$0.00$7.15
Will claude-opus-4-6 have the best AI model on May 30, 2026? · Yes0.0110.000$0.00$3.45
Will Google have the #3 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)? · Yes0.3800.000$0.00$45.60
Will the next Claude Opus 4.8 model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score between 1480 and 1490? · Yes0.3650.000$0.00$129.50

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-17 21:13Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?BUY0.7$350.00
06-01 19:23Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31 2027?BUY0.98$294.00
06-01 19:23Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31 2027?BUY0.96$444.96
05-31 01:30Will Perplexity not IPO by December 31, 2027?BUY0.4$80.00
05-31 01:20Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027?BUY0.75$262.50
05-29 17:35Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking have the best AI model on May 30, 2026?BUY0.146472$7.32
05-28 19:20Will claude-opus-4-6 have the best AI model on May 30, 2026?BUY0.0114956667$3.45
05-28 19:18Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking have the best AI model on May 30, 2026?BUY0.3062690466$35.18
05-28 19:16Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking have the best AI model on May 30, 2026?BUY0.2716010097$35.51
05-25 22:06Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (LOW) $850B by June 30?BUY0.94$282.00
05-25 21:53Anthropic + OpenAI vs Meta - higher valuation on June 30?BUY0.96$143.89
05-02 23:00Will the next Google Gemini model debut at a score of at least 1490?BUY0.35$29.24
05-02 23:00Will the next Google Gemini model debut at a score of at least 1480?BUY0.7492733333$224.78
05-02 22:59Will the next model released by xAI debut at a score of at least 1440?BUY0.66$165.00
05-02 22:39Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?BUY0.3266666667$4.90