PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

beshenniy

0x1c6de7cc0edae3f5af8a19c9421c99a2a100e2f0

Realised P&L
$-44.09
Volume
$11.6k
Markets traded
16
Open portfolio
$9.45

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded16
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample1 position
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration81.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? · Yes0.0700.054$7.73$2.27
Will Elon Musk get full custody of the St. Clair child? · Yes0.1000.039$0.78$1.22
US x China Military clash before 2027? · Yes0.1000.044$0.44$0.56
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · Yes0.2200.038$0.30$1.46
US x Denmark Military clash before 2027? · Yes0.1100.021$0.19$0.81
Will Trump try to Fire Powell by January 31? · Yes0.0120.000$0.00$3.00
Will all of Trump’s Greenland Tariffs go into effect by Feb 1? · Yes0.1500.000$0.00$1.00
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0030.000$0.00$1.00
Will Trump and Robert Fico handshake last 2–6 seconds? · Yes0.0100.000$0.00$1.00
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair? · Yes0.0590.000$0.00$3.00
Will anyone audibly fart during Trump's WEF 2026 speech? · Yes0.0450.000$0.00$2.00
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025? · Yes0.0030.000$0.00$22.00
Will Melania say "Career" during AI talk on Friday? · Yes0.0200.000$0.00$3.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $88,000 and $90,000 on December 31? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00$1.00
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on December 31? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
01-18 08:54Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?BUY0.0589999822$3.00
01-18 07:33US x Denmark Military clash before 2027?BUY0.1099999032$1.00
01-18 07:32Will Elon Musk get full custody of the St. Clair child?BUY0.1$2.00
01-18 07:31US x China Military clash before 2027?BUY0.1$1.00
01-18 07:25Will Melania say "Career" during AI talk on Friday?BUY0.0167487603$2.00
01-18 07:23Will anyone audibly fart during Trump's WEF 2026 speech?BUY0.0449283679$2.00
01-18 07:11Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?BUY0.22$1.76
01-18 06:58Bitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 1:45AM-2:00AM ETBUY0.8199999836$0.99
01-18 06:54Will Trump try to Fire Powell by January 31?BUY0.0120896869$3.00
01-18 06:42Will Melania say "Career" during AI talk on Friday?BUY0.0341623394$1.00
01-18 06:37Will Trump and Robert Fico handshake last 2–6 seconds?BUY0.01$1.00
01-18 06:34Will all of Trump’s Greenland Tariffs go into effect by Feb 1?BUY0.1499998875$1.00
01-12 07:15Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?BUY0.003$1.00
01-12 07:13Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?BUY0.0705223522$10.00
12-31 19:14Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on December 31?BUY0.001$1.00