PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x1BEDe7F78ec054d6A6e533e4C54641aDBf316AfA-1767796589212

0x1bede7f78ec054d6a6e533e4c54641adbf316afa

Realised P&L
$-1.1k
Volume
$17.0k
Markets traded
10
Open portfolio
$3.3k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-6.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded10
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration75.3% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample6 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration86.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.5830.655$2.8k+$309.75
Will Zack Polanski win the Holborn and St Pancras by-election? · Yes0.2010.180$448.08$51.92
Will Mandela Barnes win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election? · Yes0.0990.000$0.00$100.00
Will Shri Thanedar be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13? · Yes0.2730.000$0.00$100.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 13:10Will Zack Polanski win the Holborn and St Pancras by-election?BUY0.2008590192$500.00
08-15 17:40Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?BUY0.5580683022$500.00
08-15 07:41Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?BUY0.5699999998$1000.00
08-08 18:11Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?BUY0.6099999999$1000.00
07-27 18:26Will Mandela Barnes win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?BUY0.08$50.00
07-21 18:51Will Mandela Barnes win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?BUY0.1287944816$50.00
07-20 19:35Will Shri Thanedar be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?BUY0.2727727616$100.00
07-16 07:07Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?SELL0.3257222358$106.52
07-15 12:57Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?SELL0.322602332$316.51
07-15 05:54Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?SELL0.2807446031$367.26
06-04 18:55Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?SELL0.8922942428$234.81
06-01 12:55Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?BUY0.1911079022$500.00
03-12 09:39Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?BUY0.7599999974$200.00
01-28 19:57Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.6482463452$500.00
01-28 19:50Will Matt Goodwin – Reform win the Gorton and Denton by-election?BUY0.6784990434$100.00