PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

leonardwade

0x1bcbf1ef246d76811db7493a784878f220ef4054

Realised P&L
$-2.00
Volume
$11.0k
Markets traded
87
Open portfolio
$33.44

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded87
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration68.9% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration76.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the October 2026 meeting? · No0.6700.969$25.45+$7.84
Will Muse from Meta be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 23? · Yes0.7200.720$7.99+$0.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 12? · No0.5000.000$0.00−$6.03

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
01-31 14:47Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in January?BUY0.969999999$10.09
01-30 15:30Will Oracle be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?BUY0.999$7.75
01-30 15:28Will Tesla be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?BUY0.998$25.47
01-30 12:57Will Google have the second-best AI model at the end of January 2026?BUY0.9905185007$36.35
12-30 14:56Will Trump pardon Ryan Salame in 2025?BUY0.999$1.84
12-30 14:33Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2025?BUY0.999$2.17
12-30 13:40Will Trump pardon Himself in 2025?BUY0.998$12.05
12-30 11:17Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried in 2025?BUY0.999$16.68
12-29 22:20Will Trump pardon Hunter Biden in 2025?BUY0.998$28.77
12-29 18:48Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy in 2025?BUY0.998$17.87
10-30 22:50Will Ethereum dip to $3000 in October?BUY0.999$22.56
10-30 22:13Will Solana reach $240 in October?BUY0.999$21.95
09-29 11:30Will xAI have the top AI model on September 30?BUY0.999$12.22
09-29 10:11Will XRP reach $4.50 in September?BUY0.999$10.64
09-29 02:55Will Google have the second best AI model on September 30?BUY0.99$16.65