leonardwade
0x1bcbf1ef246d76811db7493a784878f220ef4054
- Realised P&L
- $-2.00
- Volume
- $11.0k
- Markets traded
- 87
- Open portfolio
- $33.44
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded87
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration68.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration76.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the October 2026 meeting? · No | 0.670 | 0.969 | $25.45 | +$7.84 |
| Will Muse from Meta be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 23? · Yes | 0.720 | 0.720 | $7.99 | +$0.00 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 12? · No | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.03 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$29.95at 0.550Will the Boston Celtics win the Eastern Conference?
- +$3.42at 0.730Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $70 Week of September 7 2026?
- +$3.29at 0.800Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?
- +$2.56at 0.840Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $870 Week of August 31 2026?
- +$1.46at 0.830Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on September 14?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01-31 14:47 | Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in January? | BUY | 0.969999999 | $10.09 |
| 01-30 15:30 | Will Oracle be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28? | BUY | 0.999 | $7.75 |
| 01-30 15:28 | Will Tesla be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28? | BUY | 0.998 | $25.47 |
| 01-30 12:57 | Will Google have the second-best AI model at the end of January 2026? | BUY | 0.9905185007 | $36.35 |
| 12-30 14:56 | Will Trump pardon Ryan Salame in 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.84 |
| 12-30 14:33 | Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $2.17 |
| 12-30 13:40 | Will Trump pardon Himself in 2025? | BUY | 0.998 | $12.05 |
| 12-30 11:17 | Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried in 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $16.68 |
| 12-29 22:20 | Will Trump pardon Hunter Biden in 2025? | BUY | 0.998 | $28.77 |
| 12-29 18:48 | Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy in 2025? | BUY | 0.998 | $17.87 |
| 10-30 22:50 | Will Ethereum dip to $3000 in October? | BUY | 0.999 | $22.56 |
| 10-30 22:13 | Will Solana reach $240 in October? | BUY | 0.999 | $21.95 |
| 09-29 11:30 | Will xAI have the top AI model on September 30? | BUY | 0.999 | $12.22 |
| 09-29 10:11 | Will XRP reach $4.50 in September? | BUY | 0.999 | $10.64 |
| 09-29 02:55 | Will Google have the second best AI model on September 30? | BUY | 0.99 | $16.65 |