0x1bC3f6E0F418769932B364cF586e7F7668dB8548-1766006288820
0x1bc3f6e0f418769932b364cf586e7f7668db8548
- Realised P&L
- $3.0k
- Volume
- $283.1k
- Markets traded
- 75
- Open portfolio
- $75.01
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded75
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration31.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)34.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration83.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.8kat 0.137Over $70M committed to the Ranger public sale?
- +$4.2kat 0.535Over $500K committed to the Foresee public sale?
- +$2.9kat 0.510Over $2M committed to the Hurupay public sale?
- +$1.5kat 0.349USD.AI FDV above $500M one day after launch?
- +$1.3kat 0.503Zama FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-30 13:56 | Gensyn FDV above $400M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.7924963383 | $86.57 |
| 04-30 13:56 | Gensyn FDV above $1B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.0012718346 | $8.63 |
| 04-29 13:28 | Gensyn FDV above $600M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.2889791679 | $301.85 |
| 04-29 12:58 | Pharos FDV above $800M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.1300397333 | $328.26 |
| 04-29 10:17 | Gensyn FDV above $1.5B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.0649363762 | $46.95 |
| 04-29 09:46 | Gensyn FDV above $1B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.1455528655 | $272.16 |
| 04-29 09:43 | Gensyn FDV above $1B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.144 | $251.87 |
| 04-29 09:41 | Gensyn FDV above $1B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.1119973889 | $343.15 |
| 04-29 08:54 | Pharos FDV above $800M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.1984672197 | $453.57 |
| 04-27 13:22 | Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals? | SELL | 0.52 | $312.00 |
| 04-27 13:08 | Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.53 | $265.00 |
| 04-27 12:55 | Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.53 | $53.00 |
| 04-27 12:04 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026? | SELL | 0.93 | $102.30 |
| 04-27 11:58 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026? | BUY | 0.94 | $94.00 |
| 04-26 15:32 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.4605630769 | $239.49 |