0x1bA27E74C4A6f29B7c88e7750D5B0C0990e7EA52-1730802450037
0x1ba27e74c4a6f29b7c88e7750d5b0c0990e7ea52
- Realised P&L
- $-16.42
- Volume
- $16.1k
- Markets traded
- 26
- Open portfolio
- $67.54
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded26
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample20 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31, 2027? · Yes | 0.370 | 0.595 | $67.54 | +$25.54 |
| Will France vs. Spain end in a draw? · Yes | 0.265 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$26.00 |
| England vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout? · Yes | 0.210 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$11.00 |
| US government shutdown in 2025? · No | 0.460 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Cucurella: 1+ shots · No | 0.009 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.01 |
| Will France vs. England end in a draw? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$81.84at 0.917Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance
- +$52.94at 0.916Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?
- +$42.31at 0.328Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?
- +$41.77at 0.950Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$40.94at 0.924Spain vs. Argentina: 2nd Half O/U 1.5
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-22 15:24 | Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.3699999961 | $42.00 |
| 08-22 15:24 | Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? | SELL | 0.18 | $14.52 |
| 08-22 15:22 | Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? | SELL | 0.18 | $29.03 |
| 07-31 03:03 | Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? | BUY | 0.309999998 | $100.00 |
| 07-23 09:46 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.7689999923 | $10.00 |
| 07-19 21:49 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.919999999 | $400.00 |
| 07-19 21:46 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.9074999986 | $500.00 |
| 07-19 20:59 | Spain vs. Argentina: 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.92 | $500.00 |
| 07-19 20:37 | Cucurella: 1+ shots | SELL | 0.001 | $0.11 |
| 07-19 20:30 | Cucurella: 1+ shots | BUY | 0.0090000001 | $1.00 |
| 07-19 19:39 | Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 0.5 | SELL | 0.835 | $103.84 |
| 07-19 19:25 | Exact Score: Any Other Score? | BUY | 0.942557699 | $700.00 |
| 07-19 08:05 | Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 0.5 | BUY | 0.8924999995 | $111.00 |
| 07-19 08:03 | Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw? | BUY | 0.3174999941 | $20.00 |
| 07-18 23:00 | Will France vs. England end in a draw? | BUY | 0.002 | $1.00 |