PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x1b8a3b7Fe9A56E5B3d88bd6578Af327C1e06806f-1776075421606

0x1b8a3b7fe9a56e5b3d88bd6578af327c1e06806f

Realised P&L
$-87.00
Volume
$12.2k
Markets traded
84
Open portfolio
$13.48

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded84
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration32.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample48 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)12.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration18.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0500.124$2.48+$1.48
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on April 23? · Yes0.4321.000$2.31+$1.31
Will Neymar play in the World Cup? · Yes0.5701.000$1.75+$0.75
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI? · No0.5120.500$0.98−$0.02
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? · No0.5200.500$0.96−$0.04
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.1930.183$0.95−$0.05
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0450.041$0.90−$0.10
Will Jeff Bezos be 2nd richest person on December 31? · No0.7960.661$0.83−$0.17
Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI? · Yes0.6900.500$0.72−$0.28
Will Larry Page be 2nd richest person on December 31? · Yes0.5600.390$0.70−$0.30
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · Yes0.0900.021$0.23−$0.77
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · Yes0.1800.029$0.16−$0.84
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? · Yes0.1210.017$0.14−$0.86
GTA 6 launch postponed again? · Yes0.4000.037$0.09−$0.91
Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0060.001$0.08−$0.92

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
04-28 19:09Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28?BUY0.3899999902$20.00
04-22 16:16Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 11°C on April 23?BUY0.0569999484$0.91
04-22 16:16Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C on April 23?BUY0.059999946$0.91
04-22 16:15Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 13°C on April 23?BUY0.4499997975$0.95
04-22 16:14Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 74-75°F on April 23?BUY0.009569378$0.90
04-22 16:14Will the highest temperature in Houston be 76°F or higher on April 23?BUY0.01$0.90
04-22 16:13Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on April 23?BUY0.039550704$0.90
04-22 16:13Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on April 23?BUY0.2299998275$0.92
04-22 16:12Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on April 23?BUY0.4199998236$0.94
04-22 16:12Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on April 23?BUY0.0070477683$0.90
04-22 16:12Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on April 23?BUY0.4799998272$0.95
04-22 16:12Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on April 23?BUY0.023999977$0.90
04-19 20:39LoL: LOUD vs Leviatan Esports (BO3) - CBLOL Regular SeasonSELL0.999$3.49
04-17 22:15Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?BUY0.089999919$1.00
04-17 22:15Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?BUY0.3899998479$1.00